Guangzhou Shangpin (China) Price Prediction
| 300616 Stock | 13.75 0.08 0.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.45 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1098 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2749 | Wall Street Target Price 7.9333 |
Using Guangzhou Shangpin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guangzhou Shangpin Home from the perspective of Guangzhou Shangpin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guangzhou Shangpin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guangzhou because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Guangzhou Shangpin after-hype prediction price | CNY 15.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guangzhou |
Guangzhou Shangpin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guangzhou Shangpin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guangzhou Shangpin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guangzhou Shangpin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guangzhou Shangpin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guangzhou Shangpin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guangzhou Shangpin's historical news coverage. Guangzhou Shangpin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.63 and 20.59, respectively. We have considered Guangzhou Shangpin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guangzhou Shangpin is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guangzhou Shangpin Home is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guangzhou Shangpin Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guangzhou Shangpin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guangzhou Shangpin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guangzhou Shangpin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 4.98 | 1.86 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.75 | 15.61 | 13.53 |
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Guangzhou Shangpin Hype Timeline
Guangzhou Shangpin Home is presently traded for 13.75on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.86, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Guangzhou is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 193.02%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 13.53%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.72%. The volatility of related hype on Guangzhou Shangpin is about 13737.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.78. Guangzhou Shangpin Home has accumulated 3.01 B in total debt. Debt can assist Guangzhou Shangpin until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Guangzhou Shangpin's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Guangzhou Shangpin Home sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Guangzhou to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Guangzhou Shangpin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Guangzhou Shangpin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Guangzhou Shangpin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guangzhou Shangpin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guangzhou Shangpin's future price movements. Getting to know how Guangzhou Shangpin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guangzhou Shangpin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | (0.15) | 1 per month | 1.97 | (0.05) | 3.21 | (3.89) | 8.24 | |
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.04) | 3 per month | 1.58 | (0.06) | 2.83 | (3.06) | 8.14 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.14 | 3 per month | 1.48 | (0.04) | 2.67 | (2.86) | 7.70 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 1.76 | (0.05) | 3.32 | (3.86) | 8.64 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 601166 | Industrial Bank Co | 0.18 | 1 per month | 1.61 | (0.0007) | 3.84 | (2.56) | 12.07 | |
| 601628 | China Life Insurance | (0.02) | 3 per month | 2.29 | 0.12 | 6.42 | (3.18) | 20.00 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.26 | 1 per month | 1.84 | 0.1 | 5.83 | (2.83) | 19.77 |
Guangzhou Shangpin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guangzhou price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guangzhou using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guangzhou charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Guangzhou Shangpin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Guangzhou Shangpin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guangzhou Shangpin Home, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guangzhou Shangpin based on analysis of Guangzhou Shangpin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guangzhou Shangpin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guangzhou Shangpin's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Guangzhou Shangpin
The number of cover stories for Guangzhou Shangpin depends on current market conditions and Guangzhou Shangpin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guangzhou Shangpin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guangzhou Shangpin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Guangzhou Shangpin Short Properties
Guangzhou Shangpin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guangzhou Shangpin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guangzhou Shangpin Home often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guangzhou Shangpin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangzhou Shangpin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 197.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 B |
Complementary Tools for Guangzhou Stock analysis
When running Guangzhou Shangpin's price analysis, check to measure Guangzhou Shangpin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guangzhou Shangpin is operating at the current time. Most of Guangzhou Shangpin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guangzhou Shangpin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guangzhou Shangpin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guangzhou Shangpin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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