Gem Year (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

601002 Stock   4.41  0.05  1.12%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gem Year Industrial Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Gem Year buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Gem Year positions.
  
Check out Gem Year Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gem and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Gem Year Industrial Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Gem Year Buy or Sell Advice

The Gem recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gem Year Industrial Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gem Year Industrial Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gem Year's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Gem YearBuy Gem Year
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves totally opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Gem Year Industrial Co has a Mean Deviation of 2.11, Semi Deviation of 2.33, Standard Deviation of 3.1, Variance of 9.62, Downside Variance of 7.1 and Semi Variance of 5.44
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Gem Year. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Gem Year Industrial Co is not overpriced, please check out all Gem Year fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, price to book, as well as the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Gem Year Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Gem Year Industrial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 2.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (19.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 378.47 M.
About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Gem Year Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Gem Year's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gem Year's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gem Year daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gem Year Industrial Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gem Year returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gem Year.
Mean Return
0.62
Value At Risk
-3.38
Potential Upside
7.19
Standard Deviation
3.10
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gem Year historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Gem Year Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures140.7M118.1M395.8M248.3M29.6M28.1M
Net Income138.5M502.4M215.1M114.9M(19.3M)(18.3M)
Dividends Paid80.5M5.2M48.0M2.5M97.6M64.6M
Change To Inventory415.4M(101.7M)(444.6M)(5.3M)285.2M299.5M
Investments(48.7M)(624.4M)536.6M30.8M(77.1M)(73.2M)
Change In Cash(55.7M)(124.0M)248.7M(185.3M)47.5M49.9M
Net Borrowings(50M)(589.3M)(9.6M)260.5M299.5M314.5M
Depreciation149.3M140.6M132.2M144.7M171.5M123.6M
Change To Netincome62.7M(332.8M)32.6M60.4M54.4M57.1M
End Period Cash Flow167.2M43.2M291.9M106.6M154.2M128.9M
Free Cash Flow290.4M358.7M(304.8M)(496.7M)327.8M344.2M
Other Non Cash Items27.0M19.7M4.9M(6.9M)9.3M13.9M

Gem Year Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gem Year or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gem Year's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gem stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.21
σ
Overall volatility
3.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Gem Year Volatility Alert

Gem Year Industrial Co currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.16 and Jensen Alpha of 0.76. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gem Year's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gem Year's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Gem Year Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Gem Year's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gem Year's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gem Year and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gem Year or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gem Year's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gem Year by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Gem Year to competition
FundamentalsGem YearPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0149-0.31
Return On Asset0.0112-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.63 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding954.44 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders47.92 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.26 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.03 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.80 X11.42 X
Revenue2.31 B9.43 B
Gross Profit378.47 M27.38 B
EBITDA286.79 M3.9 B
Net Income(19.29 M)570.98 M
Total Debt1.05 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share4.34 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations357.44 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.07 X3.12 X
Target Price12.0
Number Of Employees2.56 K18.84 K
Beta0.19-0.15
Market Capitalization4.26 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.22 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.22 B9.33 B
Working Capital2.11 B1.48 B
Net Asset5.22 B
Last Dividend Paid0.1

Gem Year Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gem . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Gem Year Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Gem Year Industrial Co? Buying financial instruments such as Gem Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Precious Metals
Precious Metals Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Gem Stock

Gem Year financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gem Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gem with respect to the benefits of owning Gem Year security.