Hengdian Entertainment (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

603103 Stock   13.31  0.45  3.27%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Hengdian Entertainment Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Hengdian Entertainment buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 603103 positions.
  
Check out Hengdian Entertainment Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hengdian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hengdian Entertainment Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Hengdian Entertainment Buy or Sell Advice

The Hengdian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hengdian Entertainment Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hengdian Entertainment Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hengdian Entertainment's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hengdian EntertainmentBuy Hengdian Entertainment
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Hengdian Entertainment Co has a Mean Deviation of 2.62, Semi Deviation of 3.22, Standard Deviation of 3.46, Variance of 11.94, Downside Variance of 10.98 and Semi Variance of 10.39
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Hengdian Entertainment and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Hengdian Entertainment Co is not overpriced, please check out all Hengdian Entertainment fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, price to book, as well as the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Hengdian Entertainment Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Hengdian Entertainment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Hengdian Entertainment Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hengdian Entertainment's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hengdian Entertainment's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hengdian Entertainment daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hengdian Entertainment Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hengdian Entertainment returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hengdian Entertainment.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-4.26
Potential Upside
5.79
Standard Deviation
3.46
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hengdian Entertainment historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hengdian Entertainment Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid106.7M123.6M120.4M5.1M5.8M5.5M
Capital Expenditures418.8M220.2M356.7M202.0M202.7M268.7M
Change To Inventory(16.5M)(18.7M)53.5M78.0M39.3M41.3M
Investments(2.1M)401.8M71.5M(37.1M)(114.1M)(119.8M)
Change In Cash101.6M171.1M(193.7M)37.3M376.2M395.0M
Net Borrowings(16.1M)(151.1M)(8.6M)(573.7M)(516.3M)(490.5M)
Depreciation180.6M189.4M405.1M376.6M346.4M261.8M
Net Income309.5M(480.5M)13.7M(317.4M)165.9M174.1M
End Period Cash Flow289.2M577.0M383.3M420.6M796.8M433.5M
Change To Netincome(35.2M)(2.7M)135.6M148.7M171.0M179.5M
Free Cash Flow161.9M(230.2M)295.8M110.5M543.3M570.4M
Other Non Cash Items142.2M165.1M292.2M277.7M248.0M217.4M

Hengdian Entertainment Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hengdian Entertainment or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hengdian Entertainment's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hengdian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
3.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Hengdian Entertainment Volatility Alert

Hengdian Entertainment Co shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hengdian Entertainment's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hengdian Entertainment's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Hengdian Entertainment Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hengdian Entertainment's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hengdian Entertainment's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hengdian Entertainment and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hengdian Entertainment or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hengdian Entertainment's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hengdian Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hengdian Entertainment to competition
FundamentalsHengdian EntertainmentPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.038-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0153-0.14
Profit Margin(0.03) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.21) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.59 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding634.2 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders88.77 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions2.76 %39.21 %
Price To Book6.43 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.40 X11.42 X
Revenue2.35 B9.43 B
Gross Profit370.29 M27.38 B
EBITDA49.11 M3.9 B
Net Income165.85 M570.98 M
Total Debt3.12 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.14 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations745.92 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.08) X3.12 X
Target Price16.43
Beta1.04-0.15
Market Capitalization8.84 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.46 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(10.18 M)9.33 B
Working Capital304.48 M1.48 B
Net Asset4.46 B

Hengdian Entertainment Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hengdian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hengdian Entertainment Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hengdian Entertainment Co? Buying financial instruments such as Hengdian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Hengdian Stock

Hengdian Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hengdian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hengdian with respect to the benefits of owning Hengdian Entertainment security.