Xingguang Agricultural (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

603789 Stock   8.58  0.31  3.75%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Xingguang Agricultural Mach is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Xingguang Agricultural buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 603789 positions.
  
Check out Xingguang Agricultural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Xingguang and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Xingguang Agricultural Mach. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Xingguang Agricultural Buy or Sell Advice

The Xingguang recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Xingguang Agricultural Mach. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Xingguang Agricultural Mach or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Xingguang Agricultural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Xingguang AgriculturalBuy Xingguang Agricultural
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Xingguang Agricultural Mach has a Mean Deviation of 2.11, Semi Deviation of 3.25, Standard Deviation of 3.02, Variance of 9.1, Downside Variance of 13.47 and Semi Variance of 10.55
We provide recommendation to complement the prevalent expert consensus on Xingguang Agricultural. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Xingguang Agricultural Mach is not overpriced, please check out all Xingguang Agricultural fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to sales, and the relationship between the shares outstanding and price to book .

Xingguang Agricultural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Xingguang Agricultural appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 308.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.79 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.44 M).
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Xingguang Agricultural Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Xingguang Agricultural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Xingguang Agricultural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Xingguang Agricultural daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Xingguang Agricultural Mach price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Xingguang Agricultural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Xingguang Agricultural.
Mean Return
0.32
Value At Risk
-3.91
Potential Upside
4.26
Standard Deviation
3.02
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Xingguang Agricultural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Xingguang Agricultural Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid4.4M20.3M12.1M9.4M13.0M25.6M
Capital Expenditures61.2M64.4M8.9M27.4M98.7M56.5M
Net Income12.1M(277.5M)(185.5M)(158.8M)(55.8M)(53.0M)
Change To Inventory36.9M(19.7M)(36.3M)(27.7M)(62.5M)(59.4M)
Investments(5.9M)4.0M(2.0M)(23.3M)(4.9M)(5.2M)
Change In Cash6.8M(55.7M)25.3M(39.3M)28.6M30.0M
Net Borrowings105.6M24.6M(6.3M)7.4M8.5M8.1M
Depreciation45.6M44.8M51.6M41.1M38.8M42.5M
Change To Netincome69.2M45.7M209.7M101.1M116.2M67.7M
End Period Cash Flow109.1M53.3M78.6M39.3M67.9M76.8M
Free Cash Flow(163.7M)(148.2M)16.3M(43.3M)(81.4M)(85.4M)
Other Non Cash Items14.3M17.5M17.0M14.0M14.0M14.9M

Xingguang Agricultural Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Xingguang Agricultural or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Xingguang Agricultural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Xingguang stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
3.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Xingguang Agricultural Volatility Alert

Xingguang Agricultural Mach shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Xingguang Agricultural's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Xingguang Agricultural's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Xingguang Agricultural Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Xingguang Agricultural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Xingguang Agricultural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Xingguang Agricultural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Xingguang Agricultural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Xingguang Agricultural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xingguang Agricultural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Xingguang Agricultural to competition
FundamentalsXingguang AgriculturalPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.28-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0922-0.14
Profit Margin(0.36) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.21) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.41 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding270.45 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders62.61 %10.09 %
Price To Book6.50 X9.51 X
Price To Sales7.15 X11.42 X
Revenue308.4 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(6.44 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(136.29 M)3.9 B
Net Income(55.79 M)570.98 M
Total Debt112.66 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share1.32 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations17.31 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.44) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees50018.84 K
Beta0.73-0.15
Market Capitalization2.24 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.3 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(458.82 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(19.17 M)1.48 B
Net Asset1.3 B

Xingguang Agricultural Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Xingguang . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Xingguang Agricultural Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Xingguang Agricultural Mach? Buying financial instruments such as Xingguang Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Xingguang Agricultural in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Consumption Thematic Idea Now

Consumption
Consumption Theme
Companies that deliver final goods such as cars or clothing for consumption by consumers. The Consumption theme has 19 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumption Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Xingguang Stock

Xingguang Agricultural financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xingguang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xingguang with respect to the benefits of owning Xingguang Agricultural security.