Xingguang Agricultural (China) Price Prediction
| 603789 Stock | 9.10 0.27 3.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.374 |
Using Xingguang Agricultural hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xingguang Agricultural Mach from the perspective of Xingguang Agricultural response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xingguang Agricultural to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xingguang because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xingguang Agricultural after-hype prediction price | CNY 9.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xingguang |
Xingguang Agricultural After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xingguang Agricultural at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xingguang Agricultural or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xingguang Agricultural, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xingguang Agricultural Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xingguang Agricultural's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xingguang Agricultural's historical news coverage. Xingguang Agricultural's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.96 and 12.24, respectively. We have considered Xingguang Agricultural's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xingguang Agricultural is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xingguang Agricultural is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xingguang Agricultural Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xingguang Agricultural is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xingguang Agricultural backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xingguang Agricultural, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 3.16 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.10 | 9.10 | 0.00 |
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Xingguang Agricultural Hype Timeline
Xingguang Agricultural is presently traded for 9.10on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Xingguang is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.65%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xingguang Agricultural is about 14363.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.09. About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company recorded a loss per share of 0.44. Xingguang Agricultural last dividend was issued on the 27th of June 2017. The entity had 13:10 split on the 25th of September 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Xingguang Agricultural Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xingguang Agricultural Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xingguang Agricultural's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xingguang Agricultural's future price movements. Getting to know how Xingguang Agricultural's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xingguang Agricultural may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600715 | Cultural Investment Holdings | 0.1 | 2 per month | 2.83 | 0.10 | 5.00 | (4.79) | 10.24 | |
| 600898 | Gome Telecom Equipment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.48 | 0.10 | 5.16 | (5.08) | 10.41 | |
| 002188 | Bus Online Co | (0.23) | 2 per month | 2.59 | 0.09 | 4.41 | (3.87) | 17.88 | |
| 002217 | Holitech Technology Co | (0.02) | 1 per month | 2.53 | 0.27 | 5.19 | (5.00) | 10.65 | |
| 000980 | Zotye Automobile Co | 0.04 | 1 per month | 3.43 | 0.15 | 10.00 | (6.28) | 20.19 |
Xingguang Agricultural Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xingguang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xingguang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xingguang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xingguang Agricultural Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xingguang Agricultural stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xingguang Agricultural Mach, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xingguang Agricultural based on analysis of Xingguang Agricultural hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xingguang Agricultural's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xingguang Agricultural's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Xingguang Agricultural
The number of cover stories for Xingguang Agricultural depends on current market conditions and Xingguang Agricultural's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xingguang Agricultural is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xingguang Agricultural's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xingguang Agricultural Short Properties
Xingguang Agricultural's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xingguang Agricultural's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xingguang Agricultural Mach often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xingguang Agricultural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xingguang Agricultural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 277.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Xingguang Stock analysis
When running Xingguang Agricultural's price analysis, check to measure Xingguang Agricultural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xingguang Agricultural is operating at the current time. Most of Xingguang Agricultural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xingguang Agricultural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xingguang Agricultural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xingguang Agricultural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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