Asbury Automotive Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ABG Stock | USD 252.30 4.37 1.70% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Asbury Automotive Group is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Asbury Automotive buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ABG positions.
Check out Asbury Automotive Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Asbury and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Asbury Automotive Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Asbury |
Execute Asbury Automotive Buy or Sell Advice
The Asbury recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Asbury Automotive Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Asbury Automotive Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Asbury Automotive's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Asbury Automotive Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Kerrigan Advisors Represents Bohn Brothers Automotive Group in Sale of Hyundai Genesis of Metairie Dealership to Matt Bowers Auto Group |
Asbury Automotive Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Asbury Automotive's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Asbury Automotive's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Asbury Automotive daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Asbury Automotive Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Asbury Automotive returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Asbury Automotive.
| Mean Return | 0.24 | Value At Risk | -2.25 | Potential Upside | 3.72 | Standard Deviation | 1.93 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Asbury Automotive historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Asbury Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 466.6 K | Madison Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 306.6 K | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2024-09-30 | 277.2 K | Channing Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 275.6 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 262.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 219.1 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 208.5 K | Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc | 2024-09-30 | 192.4 K | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-09-30 | 189.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.2 M |
Asbury Automotive Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 66.8M | 48.8M | 82M | 107.9M | 142.3M | 80.2M | |
| Net Income | 184.4M | 254.4M | 532.4M | 997.3M | 602.5M | 632.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.5M | 1.4M | 178.9M | 235.3M | 45.7M | 55.6M | |
| Change To Inventory | 212.1M | 428M | 670.5M | 6.9M | (144.5M) | (137.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | (4.8M) | (2.1M) | 177.5M | 56.4M | (189.6M) | (180.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 283M | 603.7M | 1.1B | 588.1M | 170.7M | 144.8M | |
| Depreciation | 36.2M | 38.5M | 41.9M | 69M | 67.7M | 35.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 43.2M | 25.9M | 33.4M | (148.4M) | 161.3M | 169.4M | |
| Change Receivables | (2.4M) | (19.1M) | 35.3M | 47.6M | 54.7M | 57.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | 47M | 255.4M | 2.4B | (275.6M) | (316.9M) | (301.1M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 12.7M | (4.8M) | 6.4M | (167.8M) | (151.0M) | (143.5M) | |
| Investments | (227.6M) | (820.8M) | (300K) | (132.5M) | 141.3M | 148.4M |
Asbury Automotive Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Asbury Automotive or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Asbury Automotive's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Asbury stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Asbury Automotive Volatility Alert
Asbury Automotive Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.9 and kurtosis of 1.18. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Asbury Automotive's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Asbury Automotive's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Asbury Automotive Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Asbury Automotive's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Asbury Automotive's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Asbury Automotive and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Asbury Automotive or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Asbury Automotive's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Asbury Automotive by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Asbury Automotive to competition |
| Fundamentals | Asbury Automotive | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0663 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.06 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 19.59 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.50 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.24 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.61 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.50 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.30 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 14.8 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.1 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.03 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 602.5 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 235.3 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.01 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.48 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.59 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.56 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 171.66 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 313 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 12.98 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 17.81 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.84 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 261.88 | |
| Number Of Employees | 15 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.17 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.03 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 10.16 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.96 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 181.4 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 723 shares by Daniel Clara of Asbury Automotive at 261.97 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Asbury Automotive Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Asbury . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3598.94 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.86) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 254.37 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 253.68 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (4.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (4.37) |
About Asbury Automotive Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Asbury Automotive Group? Buying financial instruments such as Asbury Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Asbury Automotive Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Asbury Automotive. If investors know Asbury will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Asbury Automotive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Earnings Share 17.81 | Revenue Per Share 815.614 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.156 | Return On Assets 0.0663 |
The market value of Asbury Automotive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Asbury that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Asbury Automotive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Asbury Automotive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Asbury Automotive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Asbury Automotive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Asbury Automotive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Asbury Automotive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asbury Automotive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.