Asbury Automotive Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator

ABG Stock  USD 237.04  5.15  2.22%   
Asbury Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Asbury Automotive's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026, the value of RSI of Asbury Automotive's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Asbury Automotive, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Asbury Automotive's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Asbury Automotive and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Asbury Automotive's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Asbury Automotive Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Asbury Automotive's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.181
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
6.7947
EPS Estimate Current Year
28.1076
EPS Estimate Next Year
27.9072
Wall Street Target Price
255.5
Using Asbury Automotive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Asbury Automotive Group from the perspective of Asbury Automotive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Asbury Automotive using Asbury Automotive's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Asbury using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Asbury Automotive's stock price.

Asbury Automotive Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Asbury Automotive's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Asbury. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Asbury Automotive stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
237.6995
Short Percent
0.0924
Short Ratio
5.81
Shares Short Prior Month
1.1 M
50 Day MA
238.9886

Asbury Relative Strength Index

Asbury Automotive Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Asbury Automotive's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Asbury. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Asbury can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Asbury Automotive Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Asbury Automotive's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Asbury Automotive.

Asbury Automotive Implied Volatility

    
  0.47  
Asbury Automotive's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Asbury Automotive Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Asbury Automotive's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Asbury Automotive stock will not fluctuate a lot when Asbury Automotive's options are near their expiration.

Asbury Automotive after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 237.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Asbury Automotive to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Asbury contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Asbury Automotive Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Asbury Automotive trading at USD 237.04, that is roughly USD 0.0696 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Asbury Automotive's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Asbury Automotive Group options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Asbury Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Asbury Automotive's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Asbury Automotive's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Asbury Automotive stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Asbury Automotive's open interest, investors have to compare it to Asbury Automotive's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Asbury Automotive is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Asbury. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Asbury Automotive Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Asbury price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Asbury using various technical indicators. When you analyze Asbury charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Asbury Automotive Group has current Price Action Indicator of 1.44. Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.
Check Asbury Automotive VolatilityBacktest Asbury AutomotiveInformation Ratio  

Asbury Automotive Trading Date Momentum

On February 04 2026 Asbury Automotive Group was traded for  237.04  at the closing time. Highest Asbury Automotive's price during the trading hours was 242.22  and the lowest price during the day was  234.14 . The net volume was 267.2 K. The overall trading history on the 4th of February did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 1.22% .
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
Compare Asbury Automotive to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Asbury Automotive

For every potential investor in Asbury, whether a beginner or expert, Asbury Automotive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Asbury Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Asbury. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Asbury Automotive's price trends.

Asbury Automotive Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Asbury Automotive stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Asbury Automotive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Asbury Automotive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Asbury Automotive Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Asbury Automotive stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Asbury Automotive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Asbury Automotive stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Asbury Automotive Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Asbury Automotive Risk Indicators

The analysis of Asbury Automotive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Asbury Automotive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asbury stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Asbury Automotive

The number of cover stories for Asbury Automotive depends on current market conditions and Asbury Automotive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Asbury Automotive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Asbury Automotive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Asbury Automotive Short Properties

Asbury Automotive's future price predictability will typically decrease when Asbury Automotive's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Asbury Automotive Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Asbury Automotive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asbury Automotive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20 M
Cash And Short Term Investments83.8 M
When determining whether Asbury Automotive is a strong investment it is important to analyze Asbury Automotive's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Asbury Automotive's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Asbury Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Can Automotive Retail industry sustain growth momentum? Does Asbury have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Asbury Automotive. If investors know Asbury will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Asbury Automotive demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.181
Earnings Share
28.5
Revenue Per Share
913.035
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.133
Return On Assets
0.0585
Asbury Automotive's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Asbury's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Asbury Automotive's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Asbury Automotive's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Asbury Automotive's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Asbury Automotive represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Asbury Automotive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.