Adairs (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ADH Stock   2.52  0.01  0.40%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Adairs is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Adairs given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Adairs. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Adairs, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Adairs Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Adairs and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Adairs. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Adairs Buy or Sell Advice

The Adairs recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Adairs. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Adairs or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Adairs' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AdairsBuy Adairs
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Adairs has a Mean Deviation of 2.5, Semi Deviation of 2.37, Standard Deviation of 3.38, Variance of 11.41, Downside Variance of 6.84 and Semi Variance of 5.6
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Adairs. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Adairs is not overpriced, please confirm all Adairs fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, and the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Adairs Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Adairs had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Adairs Ltd. Director Adjusts Stock Holdings - TipRanks

Adairs Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Adairs' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Adairs' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Adairs daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Adairs price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Adairs returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Adairs.
Mean Return
0.35
Value At Risk
-5.29
Potential Upside
5.21
Standard Deviation
3.38
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Adairs historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Adairs Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Investments(50.0M)(11.3M)(108.2M)(12.3M)(27.4M)(28.8M)
Change In Cash7.2M2.0M105K(177K)(13.0M)(12.4M)
Depreciation39.3M44.6M51.3M58.5M60.3M63.3M
Capital Expenditures7.5M11.3M9.0M12.3M27.4M28.8M
Net Income35.3M63.7M44.9M37.8M31.1M22.2M
Change To Netincome156K344K11.6M3.1M3.6M2.8M
Change To Inventory7.1M(24.6M)(13.1M)11.3M4.0M4.2M
Free Cash Flow89.8M105.5M52.2M96.1M66.3M51.1M
Other Non Cash Items(366K)10.2M1.8M623K61.0M64.1M
End Period Cash Flow23.9M26.0M26.1M25.9M12.9M19.8M
Dividends Paid13.3M40.6M29.4M27.4M7.6M7.2M

Adairs Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Adairs or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Adairs' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Adairs stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
3.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Adairs Volatility Alert

Adairs currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Adairs' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Adairs' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Adairs Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Adairs' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Adairs' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Adairs and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Adairs or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Adairs' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adairs by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Adairs to competition
FundamentalsAdairsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.062-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.1 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation706.12 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding175.83 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.94 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions17.42 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.99 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.75 X11.42 X
Revenue594.36 M9.43 B
Gross Profit308.87 M27.38 B
EBITDA126.56 M3.9 B
Net Income31.09 M570.98 M
Total Debt275.9 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share1.28 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations93.68 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.18 X3.12 X
Target Price2.55
Beta1.9-0.15
Market Capitalization443.1 M19.03 B
Total Asset610.5 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings132.7 M9.33 B
Working Capital(26.26 M)1.48 B
Annual Yield0.06 %
Net Asset610.5 M
Last Dividend Paid0.12

Adairs Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Adairs . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Adairs Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Adairs? Buying financial instruments such as Adairs Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Adairs in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Wholesale Thematic Idea Now

Wholesale
Wholesale Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Wholesale theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Wholesale Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Additional Tools for Adairs Stock Analysis

When running Adairs' price analysis, check to measure Adairs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adairs is operating at the current time. Most of Adairs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adairs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adairs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adairs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.