Afya Stock Market Outlook
| AFYA Stock | USD 15.31 0.27 1.80% |
About 62% of all Afya's investors are looking to take a long position. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Afya stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. The current market sentiment, together with Afya's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Afya stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 62
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Afya's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Afya.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Afya is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Afya buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Afya positions.
Execute Afya Advice
The Afya recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Afya. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Afya or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Afya's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Fair | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
For the selected time horizon Afya has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0512, Jensen Alpha of 0.0534, Total Risk Alpha of (0.01), Sortino Ratio of 0.0218 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1206Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Afya and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Afya is not overpriced, please confirm all Afya fundamentals, including its revenue, total debt, earnings per share, as well as the relationship between the net income and book value per share . Given that Afya has a price to earning of 33.33 X, we suggest you to validate Afya market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Afya Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Afya is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Afya Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price |
Afya Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Afya's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Afya's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Afya daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Afya price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Afya returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Afya.
| Mean Return | 0.1 | Value At Risk | -2.99 | Potential Upside | 2.30 | Standard Deviation | 1.53 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Afya historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Afya Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 127.5 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2025-06-30 | 125.3 K | Renaissance Group Llc | 2025-06-30 | 102.3 K | State Street Corp | 2025-06-30 | 100.1 K | Carrera Capital Advisors | 2025-06-30 | 98 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-06-30 | 86.2 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 80.2 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2025-06-30 | 68.2 K | Envestnet Asset Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 66.1 K | Fmr Inc | 2025-06-30 | 2.7 M | Softbank Group Corp | 2025-06-30 | 2.4 M |
Afya Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (3.1M) | (3.7M) | (363K) | 10.9M | 12.6M | 13.2M | |
| Investments | (1.3B) | (591.5M) | (1.1B) | (1.1B) | (982.5M) | (1.0B) | |
| Change In Cash | (296.5M) | 344.5M | (540.1M) | 358.0M | 322.2M | 338.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 563.7M | 265.0M | (138.8M) | 321.7M | 369.9M | 187.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 354.1M | 546.9M | 798.2M | 1.0B | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| Depreciation | 154.2M | 206.2M | 289.5M | 333.3M | 383.3M | 402.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 208.6M | 287.9M | 352.4M | 409.9M | 471.3M | 494.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 276.8M | 297.0M | 245.4M | 392.6M | 451.5M | 474.1M | |
| Net Income | 273.5M | 428.4M | 429.6M | 676.4M | 777.8M | 816.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 748.6M | 1.1B | 553.0M | 911.0M | 1.0B | 740.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 96.7M | 139.8M | 302.1M | 374.0M | 430.1M | 451.6M |
Afya Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Afya or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Afya's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Afya stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Afya Volatility Alert
Afya has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.78 and kurtosis of 0.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Afya's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Afya's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Afya Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Afya's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Afya's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Afya and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Afya or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Afya's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Afya by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Afya to competition |
| Fundamentals | Afya | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0835 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.20 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.30 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.74 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 46.89 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 68.10 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 19.87 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 412.28 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 33.33 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.49 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.38 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.3 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.36 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.22 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 676.39 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 616.25 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.85 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.17 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.71 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.33 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.06 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.43 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.71 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.54 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 12.26 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 18.16 | |
| Beta | 0.54 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.37 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 8.83 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.01 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 449.59 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.2 B | 9.34 B |
Afya Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Afya . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Afya Target Price Consensus
Afya target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Afya's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 9 | Hold |
Most Afya analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Afya stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Afya, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationAfya Target Price Projection
Afya's current and average target prices are 15.31 and 18.16, respectively. The current price of Afya is the price at which Afya is currently trading. On the other hand, Afya's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Afya Target Price
Afya Analyst Ratings
Afya's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Afya stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Afya's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Afya's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Afya Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Afya? Buying financial instruments such as Afya Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Afya in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Utilities Thematic Idea Now
Utilities
Highly leveraged corporations that deliver utilities such as power, water or gas to public or business. The Utilities theme has 30 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Utilities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Afya Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Afya Stock refer to our How to Trade Afya Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Afya. If investors know Afya will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Afya assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.298 | Dividend Share 1.349 | Earnings Share 1.54 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
The market value of Afya is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Afya that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Afya's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Afya's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Afya's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Afya's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Afya's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Afya represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Afya's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.