Agco Corporation Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGCO Stock | USD 97.45 5.47 5.95% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AGCO Corporation is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of AGCO's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out AGCO Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AGCO and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards AGCO Corporation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
AGCO |
Execute AGCO Buy or Sell Advice
The AGCO recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AGCO Corporation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AGCO Corporation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AGCO's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Excited | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
AGCO Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| AGCO is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: AGCO Co. Short Interest Update |
AGCO Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AGCO's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AGCO's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AGCO daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AGCO Corporation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AGCO returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AGCO.
| Mean Return | 0.08 | Value At Risk | -2.75 | Potential Upside | 2.45 | Standard Deviation | 1.82 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AGCO historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AGCO Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as AGCO, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AGCO Corporation back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | Mirova Us Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 1.1 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.1 M | Bank Of Montreal | 2024-06-30 | 1 M | Bmo Capital Markets Corp. | 2024-06-30 | 1 M | Dekabank Deutsche Girozentrale | 2024-06-30 | 997.1 K | Mackenzie Investments | 2024-09-30 | 880.1 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 758.9 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 7.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 5.6 M |
AGCO Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (216.3M) | 119.7M | (762.6M) | (668.3M) | (164.4M) | (156.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | 106.7M | 686.3M | (230M) | (99.6M) | (194M) | (184.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 422.5M | 626.6M | 413.1M | 449.9M | 585M | 614.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 183.5M | (31.1M) | 41.3M | 11.4M | (25.7M) | (24.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 273.4M | 269.9M | 269.8M | 388.3M | 518.1M | 544.0M | |
| Net Income | 122.8M | 419.8M | 901.5M | 874.7M | 1.2B | 1.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 432.8M | 1.1B | 889.1M | 789.5M | 595.5M | 420.9M | |
| Investments | (3.1M) | (241.7M) | (9.6M) | (496.8M) | (494.6M) | (469.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (108.9M) | 148.6M | (3.8M) | 29.4M | 26.5M | 38.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 573.1M | 476.7M | (44.7M) | (36.5M) | (42.0M) | (39.9M) |
AGCO Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AGCO or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AGCO's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AGCO stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
AGCO Volatility Alert
AGCO Corporation currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.01 and Jensen Alpha of -0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AGCO's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AGCO's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AGCO Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AGCO's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AGCO's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AGCO and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AGCO or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AGCO's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AGCO by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AGCO to competition |
| Fundamentals | AGCO | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0378 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0556 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.38 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 74.65 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 16.80 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 85.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.38 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.73 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.65 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.55 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 14.41 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.7 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.17 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 607 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.14 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.53 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.67 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.58 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 55.58 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.1 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.33 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.26 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.61 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 104.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 27.9 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.25 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.87 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 11.42 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 6.36 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 311 shares by Stefan Caspari of AGCO at 117.66 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
AGCO Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AGCO . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About AGCO Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AGCO Corporation? Buying financial instruments such as AGCO Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having AGCO in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Fabricated Products theme has 11 constituents at this time.
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Check out AGCO Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Agricultural & Farm Machinery space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AGCO. If investors know AGCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AGCO listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | Dividend Share 1.16 | Earnings Share 2.26 | Revenue Per Share 168.626 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.25) |
The market value of AGCO is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AGCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AGCO's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AGCO's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AGCO's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AGCO's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AGCO's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AGCO is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGCO's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.