Alamos Gold Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGI Stock | USD 18.30 0.57 3.02% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alamos Gold is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Alamos Gold's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Alamos Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Alamos Stock please use our How to Invest in Alamos Gold guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alamos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alamos Gold. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Alamos |
Execute Alamos Gold Buy or Sell Advice
The Alamos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alamos Gold. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alamos Gold or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alamos Gold's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Alamos Gold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Alamos Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alamos Gold is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Alamos Gold has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Alamos Gold Inc Stock Price Up 4.45 percent on Nov 19 |
Alamos Gold Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alamos Gold's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alamos Gold's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alamos Gold daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alamos Gold price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alamos Gold returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alamos Gold.
| Mean Return | -0.02 | Value At Risk | -3.62 | Potential Upside | 3.14 | Standard Deviation | 2.03 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alamos Gold historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alamos Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Cibc Global Asset Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4.9 M | Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 4.7 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 4.4 M | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4.4 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 4.2 M | Beutel, Goodman & Company Ltd. | 2024-09-30 | 4 M | Bank Of Montreal | 2024-06-30 | 3.6 M | Bmo Capital Markets Corp. | 2024-06-30 | 3.6 M | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.3 M | Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2024-06-30 | 45.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 15.7 M |
Alamos Gold Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Free Cash Flow | (3.2M) | 67.5M | (7.8M) | (15.2M) | 126.1M | 132.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 263.6M | 300.9M | 364.3M | 313.7M | 355.3M | 373.1M | |
| Net Income | 96.1M | 144.2M | (66.7M) | 37.1M | 213.9M | 224.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 182.8M | 220.5M | 172.5M | 129.8M | 223.6M | 148.1M | |
| Change In Cash | (23.2M) | 37.7M | (48M) | (42.7M) | 93.9M | 98.6M | |
| Depreciation | 165M | 153.8M | 170.9M | 171.5M | 200.6M | 210.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (10.3M) | (4M) | 199.7M | 69.4M | 52.2M | 44.2M | |
| Change To Inventory | (11.4M) | (13.3M) | (49.7M) | (55.2M) | (26.5M) | (25.2M) | |
| Investments | (267.6M) | (314.1M) | 17M | (312.7M) | (326.9M) | (310.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (4.1M) | (3.3M) | (500K) | (200K) | (180K) | (189K) | |
| Dividends Paid | 15.6M | 23.9M | 34.5M | 35.1M | 35.3M | 37.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 32M | 84.9M | 306.7M | 153M | 176.0M | 184.7M |
Alamos Gold Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alamos Gold or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alamos Gold's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alamos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Alamos Gold Volatility Alert
Alamos Gold exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.23 and kurtosis of 1.87. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alamos Gold's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alamos Gold's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alamos Gold Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alamos Gold's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alamos Gold's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alamos Gold and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alamos Gold or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alamos Gold's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alamos Gold by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alamos Gold to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alamos Gold | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0764 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0572 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.20 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.37 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.92 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 420.15 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.26 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 70.03 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.34 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 18.17 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.26 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 6.48 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.04 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 385 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 508.3 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 213.85 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 144 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.37 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 994.88 K | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.67 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 8.35 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 481.37 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.53 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.60 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (2.50) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 25.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.4 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.09 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.94 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.98 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (876.8 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 338.1 M | 1.48 B |
Alamos Gold Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alamos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 49848.73 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.68) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 18.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 18.27 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.57) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.75 |
About Alamos Gold Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alamos Gold? Buying financial instruments such as Alamos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Alamos Gold in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Alamos Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Alamos Stock please use our How to Invest in Alamos Gold guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alamos Gold. If investors know Alamos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alamos Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.011 | Dividend Share 0.1 | Earnings Share 0.6 | Revenue Per Share 3.047 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.409 |
The market value of Alamos Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alamos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alamos Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alamos Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alamos Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alamos Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alamos Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alamos Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alamos Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.