Alamos Gold Stock Technical Analysis
| AGI Stock | USD 45.25 3.06 7.25% |
As of the 14th of February 2026, Alamos Gold shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.1326, and Mean Deviation of 2.6. Alamos Gold technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Alamos Gold Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Alamos, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AlamosAlamos Gold's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Alamos Gold Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 52.5 | Strong Buy | 11 | Odds |
Most Alamos analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alamos stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alamos Gold, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alamos conference calls.
Is there potential for Metals & Mining market expansion? Will Alamos introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alamos Gold. If investors know Alamos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Alamos Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.25 | Dividend Share 0.1 | Earnings Share 1.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.281 |
Investors evaluate Alamos Gold using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Alamos Gold's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Alamos Gold's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alamos Gold's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alamos Gold represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Alamos Gold's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Alamos Gold 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alamos Gold's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alamos Gold.
| 11/16/2025 |
| 02/14/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alamos Gold on November 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alamos Gold or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alamos Gold over 90 days. Alamos Gold is related to or competes with Pan American, Newmont Goldcorp, Wheaton Precious, Franco Nevada, Kinross Gold, Royal Gold, and Seabridge Gold. Alamos gold holding oorperatief u.a. operates as a subsidiary of Alamos Gold Inc More
Alamos Gold Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alamos Gold's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alamos Gold upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.32 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1357 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.26) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.22 |
Alamos Gold Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alamos Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alamos Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alamos Gold historical prices to predict the future Alamos Gold's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1326 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4798 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2869 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1162 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4121 |
Alamos Gold February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1326 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4221 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.58 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.32 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 646.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.7 | |||
| Variance | 13.67 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1357 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4798 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2869 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1162 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4121 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.26) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.63 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.62) | |||
| Skewness | (0.74) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.02 |
Alamos Gold Backtested Returns
Alamos Gold appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Alamos Gold secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the company had a 0.15 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing Alamos Gold's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.59% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Alamos Gold's risk adjusted performance of 0.1326, and Mean Deviation of 2.6 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Alamos Gold holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.36, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Alamos Gold will likely underperform. Please check Alamos Gold's sortino ratio, semi variance, and the relationship between the information ratio and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Alamos Gold's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.32 |
Below average predictability
Alamos Gold has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alamos Gold time series from 16th of November 2025 to 31st of December 2025 and 31st of December 2025 to 14th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alamos Gold price movement. The serial correlation of 0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Alamos Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.32 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.23 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 5.95 |
Alamos Gold technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Alamos Gold Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Alamos Gold across different markets.
About Alamos Gold Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Alamos Gold on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alamos Gold based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Alamos Gold price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Alamos Gold. By analyzing Alamos Gold's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Alamos Gold's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Alamos Gold specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006626 | 0.004663 | 0.005363 | 0.009327 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.21 | 5.59 | 6.43 | 6.1 |
Alamos Gold February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Alamos help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alamos from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Alamos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1326 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4221 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.58 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.32 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 646.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.7 | |||
| Variance | 13.67 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1357 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4798 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2869 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1162 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4121 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.26) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.63 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.62) | |||
| Skewness | (0.74) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.02 |
Alamos Gold February 14, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alamos stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 224,178 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.35 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | ||
| Day Median Price | 44.27 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 44.59 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.52 |
Complementary Tools for Alamos Stock analysis
When running Alamos Gold's price analysis, check to measure Alamos Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alamos Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Alamos Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alamos Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alamos Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alamos Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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