Ashford Hospitality Trust Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AHT Stock | USD 9.26 0.37 3.84% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ashford Hospitality Trust is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ashford Hospitality Trust given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ashford Hospitality. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ashford Hospitality Trust, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Ashford Hospitality Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ashford and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ashford Hospitality Trust. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Ashford |
Execute Ashford Hospitality Buy or Sell Advice
The Ashford recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ashford Hospitality Trust. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ashford Hospitality Trust or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ashford Hospitality's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Ashford Hospitality Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ashford Hospitality had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Ashford Hospitality has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.37 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (178.49 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 296.93 M. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST ANNOUNCES CONVERSION OF LE PAVILLON NEW ORLEANS TO MARRIOTTS TRIBUTE ... |
Ashford Hospitality Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ashford Hospitality's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ashford Hospitality's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ashford Hospitality daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ashford Hospitality Trust price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ashford Hospitality returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ashford Hospitality.
| Mean Return | 0.26 | Value At Risk | -8.02 | Potential Upside | 14.57 | Standard Deviation | 6.94 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ashford Hospitality historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ashford Stock Institutional Investors
The Ashford Hospitality's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Ashford Hospitality's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Pfg Investments, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 94 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-06-30 | 93.4 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 58.5 K | Simplex Trading, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 38.9 K | Nomura Asset Management Co Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 35.7 K | Founders Financial Securities, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 30 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-06-30 | 28.5 K | Wolverine Trading Llc | 2024-06-30 | 19 K | Virtu Financial Llc | 2024-06-30 | 16.1 K | Castleknight Management Lp | 2024-06-30 | 4.1 M | Varde Management Lp | 2024-06-30 | 2.1 M |
Ashford Hospitality Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (41.6M) | (230.9M) | 524.3M | (132.6M) | (247.5M) | (235.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 176.7M | (164.9M) | (144.3M) | 39.2M | (123.0M) | (129.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 268.7M | 252.5M | 219.0M | 201.9M | 187.8M | 167.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 40.9M | 65.1M | (27.7M) | (2.1M) | (32.8M) | (31.2M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 86.2M | 28.6M | 18.6M | 12.4M | 14.9M | 14.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 475K | 15.4M | 90K | 103.8M | 137.4M | 160.0M | |
| Net Income | (142.7M) | (633.2M) | (271.0M) | (141.1M) | (178.5M) | (169.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 398.2M | 167.3M | 691.6M | 559.0M | 311.5M | 251.2M | |
| Change To Inventory | 4.2M | (143.2M) | 28.9M | 7.3M | 8.4M | 8.9M | |
| Investments | 11.1M | (7.6M) | (9M) | (5.1M) | (107.9M) | (102.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 121.7M | (49.8M) | 187.9M | (92.5M) | (83.3M) | (79.1M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 14.3M | (25.1M) | (21.4M) | 9.4M | 10.8M | 11.4M |
Ashford Hospitality Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ashford Hospitality or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ashford Hospitality's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ashford stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Ashford Hospitality Volatility Alert
Ashford Hospitality Trust is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ashford Hospitality's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ashford Hospitality's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ashford Hospitality Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ashford Hospitality's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ashford Hospitality's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ashford Hospitality and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ashford Hospitality or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ashford Hospitality's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ashford Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ashford Hospitality to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ashford Hospitality | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -22.6 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0122 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.87 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 5.52 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.96 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 21.80 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 120.41 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (4.98) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.32 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.05 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.37 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 296.93 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 262.72 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (178.49 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 417.06 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 15.91 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.46 B | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 4.03 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (52.98) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 14.39 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.17 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4,977 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.28) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 15.0 | |
| Beta | 2.33 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 59.28 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.46 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.73 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 219.85 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 433.64 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 159.82 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Acquisition by Sheri Pantermuehl of 2906 shares of Ashford Hospitality subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ashford Hospitality Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ashford . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3539.33 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.53) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.37 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.35) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.37) |
About Ashford Hospitality Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ashford Hospitality Trust? Buying financial instruments such as Ashford Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Ashford Stock Analysis
When running Ashford Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure Ashford Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ashford Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Ashford Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ashford Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ashford Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ashford Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.