Ashford Hospitality Trust Stock Market Value

AHT Stock  USD 7.94  0.03  0.38%   
Ashford Hospitality's market value is the price at which a share of Ashford Hospitality trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ashford Hospitality Trust investors about its performance. Ashford Hospitality is selling for under 7.94 as of the 31st of January 2025; that is 0.38 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 7.81.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ashford Hospitality Trust and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ashford Hospitality over a given investment horizon. Check out Ashford Hospitality Correlation, Ashford Hospitality Volatility and Ashford Hospitality Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ashford Hospitality.
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Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ashford Hospitality. If investors know Ashford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ashford Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ashford Hospitality Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ashford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ashford Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ashford Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ashford Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ashford Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ashford Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ashford Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ashford Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ashford Hospitality 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ashford Hospitality's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ashford Hospitality.
0.00
02/11/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ashford Hospitality on February 11, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ashford Hospitality Trust or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ashford Hospitality over 720 days. Ashford Hospitality is related to or competes with Sotherly Hotels, Summit Hotel, Diamondrock Hospitality, RLJ Lodging, Host Hotels, Service Properties, and Sunstone Hotel. Ashford Hospitality Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on investing predominantly in upper upscale, full-se... More

Ashford Hospitality Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ashford Hospitality's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ashford Hospitality Trust upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ashford Hospitality Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ashford Hospitality's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ashford Hospitality's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ashford Hospitality historical prices to predict the future Ashford Hospitality's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.477.9414.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.847.3113.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.797.2713.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.128.189.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ashford Hospitality. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ashford Hospitality's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ashford Hospitality's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ashford Hospitality Trust.

Ashford Hospitality Trust Backtested Returns

Ashford Hospitality appears to be relatively risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Ashford Hospitality Trust secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0947, which signifies that the company had a 0.0947 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing Ashford Hospitality's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.61% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Ashford Hospitality's risk adjusted performance of 0.0878, and Mean Deviation of 4.33 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Ashford Hospitality holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.44, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ashford Hospitality's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ashford Hospitality is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Ashford Hospitality's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Ashford Hospitality's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.74  

Good predictability

Ashford Hospitality Trust has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ashford Hospitality time series from 11th of February 2023 to 6th of February 2024 and 6th of February 2024 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ashford Hospitality Trust price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Ashford Hospitality price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.74
Spearman Rank Test0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.25

Ashford Hospitality Trust lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ashford Hospitality stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ashford Hospitality's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ashford Hospitality returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ashford Hospitality has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ashford Hospitality regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ashford Hospitality stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ashford Hospitality stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ashford Hospitality stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ashford Hospitality Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ashford Hospitality's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ashford Hospitality stock have on its future price. Ashford Hospitality autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ashford Hospitality autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ashford Hospitality stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ashford Hospitality Trust.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Ashford Stock Analysis

When running Ashford Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure Ashford Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ashford Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Ashford Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ashford Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ashford Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ashford Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.