Amplitude Stock Market Outlook
| AMPL Stock | USD 7.46 0.76 9.25% |
About 67% of Amplitude's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in Amplitude suggests that many traders are, at the present time, alarmed. Amplitude's investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards Amplitude.
Comfort Level 33
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Amplitude's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Amplitude.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Amplitude is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Amplitude's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
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Execute Amplitude Advice
The Amplitude recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Amplitude. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Amplitude or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Amplitude's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Fair | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Amplitude has a Mean Deviation of 2.31, Standard Deviation of 3.05 and Variance of 9.28We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Amplitude. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Amplitude is not overpriced, please confirm all Amplitude fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Amplitude has a number of shares shorted of 5.4 M, we suggest you to validate Amplitude market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Amplitude Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Amplitude generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amplitude has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 299.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (94.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 244.02 M. | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Amplitude Stock A Deep Dive Into Analyst Perspectives - Benzinga |
Amplitude Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Amplitude's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Amplitude's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Amplitude daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Amplitude price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Amplitude returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Amplitude.
| Mean Return | -0.21 | Value At Risk | -5.35 | Potential Upside | 4.19 | Standard Deviation | 3.05 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Amplitude historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Amplitude Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.9 M | Institutional Venture Management Xv, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.9 M | Optimus Prime Fund Management Co., Ltd. | 2025-06-30 | 1.6 M | Arrowmark Colorado Holdings, Llc (arrowmark Partners) | 2025-06-30 | 1.3 M | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2025-06-30 | 1.2 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 819.8 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 807 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 725.7 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 721.3 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 9.6 M | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2025-06-30 | 8.9 M |
Amplitude Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Amplitude or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Amplitude's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Amplitude stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Amplitude Volatility Alert
Amplitude exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.29 and kurtosis of 0.7. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Amplitude's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Amplitude's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Amplitude Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Amplitude's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Amplitude's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Amplitude and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Amplitude or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Amplitude's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplitude by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Amplitude to competition |
| Fundamentals | Amplitude | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.37 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.16 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.31) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.29) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.03 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 103.61 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.65 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 78.09 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.4 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 4.19 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.33 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 299.27 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 244.02 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (101.28 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (94.32 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 310.02 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.76 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.58 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.11 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.96 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 18.51 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.68 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.80) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (13.15) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 15.1 | |
| Number Of Employees | 800 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.49 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.1 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 445.91 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (457.85 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 159.12 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 445.91 M |
Note: Acquisition by Tzuo Tien of 999 shares of Amplitude subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Amplitude Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Amplitude . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Amplitude Target Price Consensus
Amplitude target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Amplitude's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 11 | Buy |
Most Amplitude analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Amplitude stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Amplitude, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationAmplitude Target Price Projection
Amplitude's current and average target prices are 7.46 and 15.10, respectively. The current price of Amplitude is the price at which Amplitude is currently trading. On the other hand, Amplitude's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Amplitude Target Price
Amplitude Analyst Ratings
Amplitude's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Amplitude stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Amplitude's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Amplitude's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Amplitude Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Amplitude? Buying financial instruments such as Amplitude Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Amplitude in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Amplitude Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Amplitude Stock please use our How to buy in Amplitude Stock guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amplitude. If investors know Amplitude will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Amplitude assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.80) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.177 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Amplitude is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplitude that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplitude's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplitude's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplitude's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplitude's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Amplitude's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amplitude represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Amplitude's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.