Amplitude Stock Performance

AMPL Stock  USD 8.22  0.84  9.27%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.25, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Amplitude will likely underperform. At this point, Amplitude has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to confirm Amplitude's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if Amplitude performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Amplitude has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(9.27)
Five Day Return
(15.35)
Year To Date Return
(24.79)
Ten Year Return
(85.00)
All Time Return
(85.00)
Last Split Factor
1:20
Last Split Date
2012-07-23
1
Amplitude, Inc. Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
11/06/2025
2
A Fresh Look at Amplitude Valuation Following Launch of New AI Feedback Platform - simplywall.st
11/20/2025
3
Amplitude Valuation Check After New AI Platform Launch and Strategic Acquisitions
12/17/2025
4
Disposition of 100 shares by Spenser Skates of Amplitude at 12.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/26/2025
5
Amplitude CEO Sells 513,343.43 in Stock
12/29/2025
6
Acquisition by Tzuo Tien of 999 shares of Amplitude subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
7
JAMF vs. AMPL Which Stock Is the Better Value Option
01/08/2026
8
Amplitude acquires InfiniGrow
01/14/2026
9
AI analytics platform Amplitude sets Feb. 18 webcast on 2025 results - Stock Titan
01/22/2026
10
I Predicted This Small-Cap Stock Would Be a Winner in 2025. It Didnt Happen, But Heres Why Its Poised for a Breakout This Year.
01/28/2026
11
510,731 Shares in Amplitude, Inc. AMPL Acquired by Gagnon Securities LLC - MarketBeat
01/30/2026
12
Amplitude Stock A Deep Dive Into Analyst Perspectives - Benzinga
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow248.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-75.4 M

Amplitude Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  991.00  in Amplitude on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (169.00) from holding Amplitude or give up 17.05% of portfolio value over 90 days. Amplitude is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.0795% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Amplitude, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Amplitude is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.1 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Amplitude Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Amplitude Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.22 90 days 8.22 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amplitude to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Amplitude probability density function shows the probability of Amplitude Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Amplitude will likely underperform. Additionally Amplitude has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amplitude Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amplitude

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplitude. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.148.2211.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.916.9910.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.918.9912.06
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.1115.5017.21
Details

Amplitude Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amplitude is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amplitude's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amplitude, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amplitude within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Amplitude Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amplitude for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amplitude can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amplitude generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amplitude has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 299.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (94.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 244.02 M.
Over 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Amplitude Stock A Deep Dive Into Analyst Perspectives - Benzinga

Amplitude Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amplitude Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amplitude's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amplitude's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding123.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments241.1 M

Amplitude Fundamentals Growth

Amplitude Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Amplitude, and Amplitude fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Amplitude Stock performance.

About Amplitude Performance

By examining Amplitude's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Amplitude's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Amplitude is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.20)(0.21)
Return On Capital Employed(0.32)(0.34)
Return On Assets(0.19)(0.20)
Return On Equity(0.37)(0.35)

Things to note about Amplitude performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amplitude for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Amplitude help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amplitude generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amplitude has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 299.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (94.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 244.02 M.
Over 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Amplitude Stock A Deep Dive Into Analyst Perspectives - Benzinga
Evaluating Amplitude's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Amplitude's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Amplitude's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Amplitude's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Amplitude's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Amplitude's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Amplitude's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Amplitude's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Amplitude's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Amplitude's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Amplitude's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Amplitude is a strong investment it is important to analyze Amplitude's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Amplitude's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Amplitude Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Amplitude. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Amplitude Stock please use our How to buy in Amplitude Stock guide.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amplitude. If investors know Amplitude will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Amplitude assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(0.80)
Revenue Per Share
2.529
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.177
Return On Assets
(0.16)
Return On Equity
(0.37)
The market value of Amplitude is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplitude that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplitude's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplitude's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplitude's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplitude's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Amplitude's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amplitude represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Amplitude's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.