Alpha Metallurgical Resources Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AMR Stock | USD 192.65 2.55 1.34% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alpha Metallurgical Resources is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Alpha Metallurgical Resources within the specified time frame.
Check out Alpha Metallurgical Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alpha and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alpha Metallurgical Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
Alpha |
Execute Alpha Metallurgical Buy or Sell Advice
The Alpha recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alpha Metallurgical Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alpha Metallurgical Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alpha Metallurgical's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Alpha Metallurgical Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Alpha Metallurgical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alpha Metallurgical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Alpha Metallurgical Surges 10.4 percent Is This an Indication of Further Gains |
Alpha Metallurgical Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alpha Metallurgical's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alpha Metallurgical's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alpha Metallurgical daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alpha Metallurgical Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alpha Metallurgical returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alpha Metallurgical.
| Mean Return | -0.21 | Value At Risk | -4.31 | Potential Upside | 4.48 | Standard Deviation | 2.73 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alpha Metallurgical historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alpha Stock Institutional Investors
The Alpha Metallurgical's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Alpha Metallurgical's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 154.3 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 137.1 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 129.8 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 124.6 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 114.7 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 113.7 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-09-30 | 113.5 K | Crocodile Capital Partners Gmbh | 2024-09-30 | 102.4 K | Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 90.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M |
Alpha Metallurgical Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 48.7M | (21.3M) | (63.2M) | (27.9M) | (25.1M) | (23.9M) | |
| Change In Cash | (103.1M) | (62.0M) | 172.8M | 28.7M | 25.9M | 26.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (24.8M) | 91.6M | 1.3B | 605.8M | 696.7M | 731.5M | |
| Depreciation | 161.5M | 123.3M | 127.1M | 145.4M | 130.9M | 131.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 342.2M | 45.0M | 50.1M | 49.7M | 44.7M | 42.5M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 154.0M | 83.3M | 164.3M | 245.4M | 282.2M | 296.3M | |
| Net Income | (446.9M) | 288.8M | 1.4B | 722.0M | 830.2M | 871.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 244.6M | 182.6M | 355.4M | 384.1M | 441.7M | 248.8M | |
| Investments | (210.0M) | (4.7M) | (329.4M) | (273.4M) | (246.1M) | (233.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (26.3M) | (22.2M) | (125.8M) | (450.6M) | (405.6M) | (385.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 370.5M | 351.4M | 2.7M | 6.4M | 7.3M | 6.9M |
Alpha Metallurgical Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alpha Metallurgical or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alpha Metallurgical's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alpha stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Alpha Metallurgical Volatility Alert
Alpha Metallurgical Resources exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.3 and kurtosis of 3.87. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alpha Metallurgical's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alpha Metallurgical's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alpha Metallurgical Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alpha Metallurgical's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alpha Metallurgical's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alpha Metallurgical and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alpha Metallurgical or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alpha Metallurgical's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alpha Metallurgical by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alpha Metallurgical to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alpha Metallurgical | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.23 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.01 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 13.02 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 11.27 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 86.11 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 955.23 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.10 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.51 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.75 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.47 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 720.2 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.02 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 721.96 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 301.91 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 25.37 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 14.41 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.36 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 126.81 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 851.16 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.50 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 27.11 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 332.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 4.11 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.36 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.49 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.41 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.97 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 738.37 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 435.66 K | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 500 shares by David Stetson of Alpha Metallurgical at 432.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Alpha Metallurgical Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alpha . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1589.63 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9659 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 191.8 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 192.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.13 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.55 |
About Alpha Metallurgical Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alpha Metallurgical Resources? Buying financial instruments such as Alpha Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Alpha Stock Analysis
When running Alpha Metallurgical's price analysis, check to measure Alpha Metallurgical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpha Metallurgical is operating at the current time. Most of Alpha Metallurgical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpha Metallurgical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpha Metallurgical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpha Metallurgical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.