Ameresco Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AMRC Stock | USD 26.13 0.62 2.32% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Ameresco is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Ameresco buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Ameresco positions.
Check out Ameresco Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Ameresco Stock refer to our How to Trade Ameresco Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ameresco and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ameresco. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Ameresco |
Execute Ameresco Buy or Sell Advice
The Ameresco recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ameresco. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ameresco or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ameresco's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Ameresco Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ameresco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ameresco has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ameresco currently holds about 67.55 M in cash with (69.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.3. | |
| Ameresco has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Ameresco director Joseph Sutton buys 3,300 in stock |
Ameresco Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ameresco's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ameresco's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ameresco daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ameresco price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ameresco returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ameresco.
| Mean Return | 0.05 | Value At Risk | -7.52 | Potential Upside | 7.73 | Standard Deviation | 4.65 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ameresco historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ameresco Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 744.6 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 687.6 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-06-30 | 554.3 K | Guinness Asset Management Limited | 2024-09-30 | 511.5 K | Swedbank Ab | 2024-09-30 | 500 K | Redwood Grove Capital, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 499.9 K | Gagnon Securities Llc | 2024-09-30 | 466.3 K | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 375.6 K | Candriam Luxembourg S.c.a. | 2024-06-30 | 368.1 K | Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc | 2024-09-30 | 4.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M |
Ameresco Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (1.5M) | 660K | (232K) | (5.4M) | 581K | 610.1K | |
| Change In Cash | (20.7M) | 21.6M | (11.8M) | 62.8M | 5.3M | 5.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (336.9M) | (285.3M) | (356.1M) | (666.2M) | (621.8M) | (590.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 39.4M | 42.0M | 46.6M | 54.3M | 61.8M | 64.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.2M) | 4.7M | 4.9M | 4.5M | 8.4M | 8.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 140.6M | 182.8M | 183.8M | 327.9M | 551.8M | 579.4M | |
| Net Income | 40.3M | 56.9M | 80.2M | 98.5M | 62.4M | 37.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 77.3M | 98.8M | 87.1M | 149.9M | 141.6M | 148.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | (1.7M) | 3.6M | 15.6M | 22.8M | 26.2M | 27.5M | |
| Change Receivables | 21.6M | (118.6M) | (24.2M) | (16.0M) | (14.4M) | (15.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 87.1M | 40.2M | 238.9M | 682.9M | 785.3M | 824.6M | |
| Investments | (301K) | (132K) | (205.3M) | (328.4M) | (590.9M) | (561.3M) |
Ameresco Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ameresco or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ameresco's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ameresco stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0095 |
Ameresco Volatility Alert
Ameresco exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ameresco's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ameresco's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ameresco Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ameresco's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ameresco's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ameresco and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ameresco or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ameresco's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ameresco by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ameresco to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ameresco | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0502 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.017 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.02 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 34.44 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.16 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 92.84 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.47 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 59.56 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.50 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.84 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.37 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 290.83 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 144.55 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 62.36 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 67.55 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.30 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.55 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.79 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.76 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 17.87 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (69.99 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 10.59 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.00 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.67 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 37.55 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.5 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.82 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.4 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.71 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 595.91 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 227 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by George Sakellaris of 25000 shares of Ameresco at 26.54 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ameresco Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ameresco . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12778.86 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.52) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.63 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.46 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.81) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.62) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.6 |
About Ameresco Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ameresco? Buying financial instruments such as Ameresco Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Ameresco in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Single Stock ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Single Stock ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Single Stock ETFs theme has 99 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Single Stock ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Ameresco Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Ameresco Stock refer to our How to Trade Ameresco Stock guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ameresco. If investors know Ameresco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ameresco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 1 | Revenue Per Share 32.08 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.494 | Return On Assets 0.017 |
The market value of Ameresco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ameresco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ameresco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ameresco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ameresco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ameresco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ameresco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ameresco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ameresco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.