AP Eagers (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

APE Stock   15.23  0.16  1.06%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding AP Eagers is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AP Eagers given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AP Eagers, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out AP Eagers Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as APE and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. AP Eagers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute AP Eagers Buy or Sell Advice

The APE recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AP Eagers. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AP Eagers or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AP Eagers' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

16  Months

Risk Tolerance

I can tolerate below average risk
Execute Advice
Sell AP EagersBuy AP Eagers
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15
Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon AP Eagers has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1338, Jensen Alpha of 0.4864, Total Risk Alpha of 0.8041, Sortino Ratio of 0.3023 and Treynor Ratio of 2.65
Our trade recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on AP Eagers and to analyze the company potential to grow this quarter and beyond. To make sure AP Eagers is not overpriced, please confirm all AP Eagers fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, and the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

AP Eagers Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AP Eagers appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
AP Eagers is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Eagers Automotive boosts revenue to record 11.2b as acquisitions drive growth - Small Caps

AP Eagers Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AP Eagers' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AP Eagers' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AP Eagers daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AP Eagers price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AP Eagers returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AP Eagers.
Mean Return
0.48
Value At Risk
-2.42
Potential Upside
3.40
Standard Deviation
3.00
   Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-11.46-8.56-5.66-2.760.02.946.039.1312.22VARUpside 0.0100.0150.0200.0250.0300.0350.0400.045
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GOOGLE
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AP Eagers historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AP Eagers Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Depreciation166.3M120.4M116.6M121.3M139.5M146.5M
Other Non Cash Items(313.5M)(438.3M)(424.8M)26.6M23.9M25.1M
Capital Expenditures42.2M67.8M208.9M74.3M85.4M89.7M
Net Income147.3M317.8M308.2M281.1M323.3M339.4M
Change In Cash107.6M(11.5M)(7.2M)31.8M36.5M38.4M
Free Cash Flow(42.2M)(67.8M)215.8M342.0M393.3M412.9M
Dividends Paid32.0M146.3M175.3M186.8M214.8M225.6M
End Period Cash Flow209.1M197.6M190.4M222.2M255.5M268.3M
Change To Inventory433.1M151.7M(185.3M)(560.7M)(504.6M)(479.4M)
Investments(29.4M)1.5M(185.8M)(26.0M)(30.0M)(31.5M)
Net Borrowings(246.0M)(336.0M)(271.7M)(34.9M)(31.4M)(33.0M)
Change To Netincome168.8M79.1M(37.9M)(21.0M)(24.1M)(22.9M)

AP Eagers Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AP Eagers or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AP Eagers' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a APE stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
3.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

AP Eagers Volatility Alert

AP Eagers has relatively low volatility with skewness of 4.21 and kurtosis of 27.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AP Eagers' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AP Eagers' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

AP Eagers Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AP Eagers' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AP Eagers' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AP Eagers and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AP Eagers or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AP Eagers' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AP Eagers by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AP Eagers to competition
FundamentalsAP EagersPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0661-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.08 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding258.07 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders40.85 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions16.43 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.96 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.35 X11.42 X
Revenue9.85 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.01 B27.38 B
EBITDA636.17 M3.9 B
Net Income281.1 M570.98 M
Total Debt2.67 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share5.09 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations416.26 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.80 X3.12 X
Target Price15.11
Beta1.68-0.15
Market Capitalization3.91 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.72 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings750.1 M9.33 B
Working Capital51.73 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.05 %
Net Asset4.72 B
Last Dividend Paid0.74

AP Eagers Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as APE . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AP Eagers Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AP Eagers? Buying financial instruments such as APE Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having AP Eagers in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Precious Metals Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for APE Stock Analysis

When running AP Eagers' price analysis, check to measure AP Eagers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AP Eagers is operating at the current time. Most of AP Eagers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AP Eagers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AP Eagers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AP Eagers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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