American Realty Investors Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ARL Stock  USD 15.26  0.70  4.81%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding American Realty Investors is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of American Realty's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out American Realty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. American Realty Investors. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute American Realty Buy or Sell Advice

The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Realty Investors. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Realty Investors or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Realty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American RealtyBuy American Realty
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon American Realty Investors has a Mean Deviation of 2.67, Standard Deviation of 3.35 and Variance of 11.21
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on American Realty Investors and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure American Realty is not overpriced, please confirm all American Realty Investors fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, gross profit, book value per share, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and cash per share . Given that American Realty Investors has a shares owned by institutions of 3.03 %, we suggest you to validate American Realty Investors market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

American Realty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

American Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
American Realty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
American Realty Investors has about 113.44 M in cash with (31.05 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.37.
Roughly 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
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American Realty Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of American Realty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Realty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Realty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Realty Investors price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Realty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Realty.
Mean Return
-0.12
Value At Risk
-5.49
Potential Upside
4.97
Standard Deviation
3.35
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Realty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

American Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
New York State Common Retirement Fund2024-09-30
2.8 K
Rhumbline Advisers2024-06-30
1.7 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
1.5 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
1.3 K
Corebridge Financial Inc2024-06-30
802
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
770
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
656
Barclays Plc2024-06-30
551
Citigroup Inc2024-06-30
385
Wealth Alliance Advisory Group, Llc2024-09-30
150 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
95 K
Note, although American Realty's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

American Realty Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(23.3M)3.7M(14.3M)149.6M(143.3M)(136.1M)
Free Cash Flow(40.6M)3.5M(135.2M)(46.5M)(31.1M)(32.6M)
Depreciation13.4M18.6M15.0M13.1M14.6M18.1M
Other Non Cash Items9.7M(20.4M)(29.8M)(571.7M)2.3M2.4M
Capital Expenditures3.7M8.5M17.5M123.7M1.2M0.0
Net Income(21.7M)11.3M6.4M475.3M4.0M3.8M
End Period Cash Flow83.3M87.0M72.7M222.3M79.1M41.0M
Investments4.8M4.2M9.2M284.9M26.8M52.2M
Change Receivables(52.6M)(327K)18.2M(7.6M)(6.8M)(7.2M)
Net Borrowings95.8M(2.7M)(4.7M)(1.4M)(1.6M)(1.5M)
Change To Netincome19.9M(18.1M)(29.8M)(571.7M)(514.6M)(488.8M)

American Realty Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Realty or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Realty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.83
σ
Overall volatility
3.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

American Realty Volatility Alert

American Realty Investors exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.41 and kurtosis of 0.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Realty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Realty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

American Realty Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing American Realty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Realty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Realty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Realty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Realty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Realty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American Realty to competition
FundamentalsAmerican RealtyPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0204-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0032-0.14
Profit Margin(0.33) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.14) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation289.2 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding16.15 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders91.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions3.03 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted18.1 K4.71 M
Price To Earning36.02 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.39 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.83 X11.42 X
Revenue50.5 M9.43 B
Gross Profit488.47 M27.38 B
EBITDA2.41 M3.9 B
Net Income3.97 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents113.44 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.37 X5.01 X
Total Debt182.68 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.85 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.80 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share37.17 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(31.05 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.20 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.07) X3.12 X
Beta0.6-0.15
Market Capitalization235.17 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.02 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings553.4 M9.33 B
Working Capital397.7 M1.48 B
Net Asset1.02 B
Note: Acquisition by Realty Advisors, Llc of 5602 shares of American Realty at 6.65 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

American Realty Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About American Realty Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell American Realty Investors? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having American Realty in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Housewares Theme
Companies making housewares accessories and providing houseware services. The Housewares theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Housewares Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether American Realty Investors is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Realty's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Realty's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out American Realty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Realty. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
8.337
Earnings Share
(1.07)
Revenue Per Share
3.159
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Return On Assets
(0)
The market value of American Realty Investors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.