Arlo Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ARLO Stock  USD 11.89  0.17  1.45%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Arlo Technologies is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Arlo Technologies' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Arlo Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Arlo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Arlo Technologies guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arlo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Arlo Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Arlo Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

The Arlo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arlo Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arlo Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arlo Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Arlo TechnologiesBuy Arlo Technologies
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Arlo Technologies has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 8.0E-4, Jensen Alpha of (0.18), Total Risk Alpha of (0.31) and Treynor Ratio of (0.02)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Arlo Technologies and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Arlo Technologies is not overpriced, please confirm all Arlo Technologies fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Arlo Technologies has a price to earning of (7.97) X, we suggest you to validate Arlo Technologies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Arlo Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Arlo Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 491.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 136.03 M.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Arlo Technologies Inc Shares Down 3.52 percent on Nov 20

Arlo Technologies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Arlo Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arlo Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arlo Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arlo Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arlo Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arlo Technologies.
Mean Return
-0.02
Value At Risk
-3.46
Potential Upside
4.08
Standard Deviation
2.50
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arlo Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Arlo Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Arlo Technologies, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arlo Technologies back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.5 M
Cannell Capital Llc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Royce & Associates, Lp2024-09-30
1.4 M
Granite Investment Partners, Llc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Herald Investment Management Ltd2024-09-30
1.3 M
Engle Capital Management, L.p.2024-09-30
1.2 M
Swedbank Ab2024-09-30
1.1 M
Intrinsic Edge Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
1.1 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
15.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
9.7 M
Note, although Arlo Technologies' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Arlo Technologies Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory53.6M2.9M29.3M(7.9M)7.8M8.2M
Investments30.2M(83K)20M(29.8M)(32.3M)(33.9M)
Change In Cash85.4M(50.5M)(10.4M)(91.7M)(27.5M)(26.1M)
Free Cash Flow2.5M(50.4M)(25.5M)(48.0M)35.5M37.2M
Depreciation10.7M10.2M6.0M4.8M4.7M6.5M
Capital Expenditures6.7M3.9M2.3M2.0M2.8M4.4M
Net Income(86.0M)(101.3M)(56.0M)(56.6M)(22.0M)(23.1M)
End Period Cash Flow240.8M190.3M179.9M88.2M60.7M57.6M
Change To Netincome(35.1M)35.0M43.7M48.5M55.8M58.6M
Other Non Cash Items(58.3M)726K6.0M(166K)(1.7M)(1.8M)
Change Receivables38.2M49.8M(1.7M)13.5M15.5M16.3M

Arlo Technologies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arlo Technologies or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arlo Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arlo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.74
σ
Overall volatility
2.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Arlo Technologies Volatility Alert

Arlo Technologies exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.5 and kurtosis of -0.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arlo Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arlo Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Arlo Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Arlo Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arlo Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arlo Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arlo Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arlo Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arlo Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Arlo Technologies to competition
FundamentalsArlo TechnologiesPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.27-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0546-0.14
Profit Margin(0.05) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.04) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.04 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding100.34 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.03 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions91.15 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.45 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(7.97) X28.72 X
Price To Book12.14 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.28 X11.42 X
Revenue491.18 M9.43 B
Gross Profit136.03 M27.38 B
EBITDA(19.55 M)3.9 B
Net Income(22.04 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents135.26 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.54 X5.01 X
Total Debt17.02 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.25 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.49 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.97 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations38.3 M971.22 M
Short Ratio10.01 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.24) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.22 X4.89 X
Target Price17.8
Number Of Employees36318.84 K
Beta1.79-0.15
Market Capitalization1.2 B19.03 B
Total Asset285.54 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(367.46 M)9.33 B
Working Capital89.08 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 7098 shares by Kurtis Binder of Arlo Technologies at 11.9423 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Arlo Technologies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arlo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Arlo Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Arlo Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as Arlo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Arlo Technologies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Recreation Thematic Idea Now

Recreation
Recreation Theme
Companies involved in production and services of recreational goods, foods, and accessories. The Recreation theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Recreation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Arlo Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Arlo Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Arlo Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Arlo Technologies Stock:
Check out Arlo Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Arlo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Arlo Technologies guide.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arlo Technologies. If investors know Arlo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arlo Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.24)
Revenue Per Share
5.398
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.059
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.27)
The market value of Arlo Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arlo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arlo Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arlo Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arlo Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arlo Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arlo Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arlo Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arlo Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.