Ast Spacemobile Stock Market Outlook
| ASTS Stock | USD 96.29 5.83 5.71% |
Slightly above 63% of Ast Spacemobile's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Ast Spacemobile stock suggests that many investors are alarmed at this time. Ast Spacemobile's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Ast Spacemobile's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.
Comfort Level 37
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Ast Spacemobile's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Ast Spacemobile.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ast Spacemobile is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ast Spacemobile given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ast Spacemobile, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Execute Ast Spacemobile Advice
The Ast recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ast Spacemobile. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ast Spacemobile or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ast Spacemobile's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Fair | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Ast Spacemobile has a Mean Deviation of 6.12, Semi Deviation of 6.33, Standard Deviation of 7.62, Variance of 58.02, Downside Variance of 52.52 and Semi Variance of 40.03Macroaxis provides advice on Ast Spacemobile to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Ast Spacemobile. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Ast Spacemobile is not overpriced, please confirm all Ast Spacemobile fundamentals, including its net income, as well as the relationship between the book value per share and beta . Given that Ast Spacemobile has a number of shares shorted of 39.5 M, we suggest you to validate Ast Spacemobile market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Ast Spacemobile Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ast Spacemobile is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ast Spacemobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (526.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.73 M. | |
| Ast Spacemobile currently holds about 202.37 M in cash with (126.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.81. | |
| Ast Spacemobile has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Defiance ETFs Launches ASTN The First 2X Short ETF of AST SpaceMobile Inc. |
Ast Spacemobile Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ast Spacemobile's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ast Spacemobile's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ast Spacemobile daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ast Spacemobile price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ast Spacemobile returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Ast Spacemobile.
| Mean Return | 0.86 | Value At Risk | -10.59 | Potential Upside | 14.34 | Standard Deviation | 7.62 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ast Spacemobile historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ast Stock Institutional Investors
The Ast Spacemobile's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Ast Spacemobile's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 2.1 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.1 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.1 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 962.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 935.2 K | Nomura Holdings Inc | 2025-06-30 | 930.2 K | Fmr Inc | 2025-06-30 | 850.1 K | Tidal Investments Llc. | 2025-06-30 | 842.3 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 815 K | Rakuten Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 31 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 17.6 M |
Ast Spacemobile Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 281.8M | (85.3M) | (151.2M) | 479.4M | 551.4M | 578.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | 49K | 230K | 63.3M | 96.2M | 110.7M | 116.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (134.9M) | (213.7M) | (267.7M) | (300.3M) | (270.2M) | (256.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 2.9M | 4.7M | 54.5M | 63.3M | 72.8M | 76.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (15.2M) | (43.0M) | (7.7M) | 283.0M | 325.5M | 341.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 54.8M | 57.3M | 118.8M | 174.1M | 200.2M | 210.3M | |
| Net Income | (73.3M) | (103.1M) | (222.7M) | (526.3M) | (473.7M) | (450.0M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 324.5M | 239.3M | 88.1M | 567.5M | 652.7M | 685.3M | |
| Investments | (54.8M) | (31.4M) | (108M) | (174.1M) | (156.7M) | (148.9M) |
Ast Spacemobile Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ast Spacemobile or Wireless Telecommunication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ast Spacemobile's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ast stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Ast Spacemobile Volatility Alert
Ast Spacemobile is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ast Spacemobile's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ast Spacemobile's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ast Spacemobile Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ast Spacemobile's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ast Spacemobile's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ast Spacemobile and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ast Spacemobile or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ast Spacemobile's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ast Spacemobile by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ast Spacemobile to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ast Spacemobile | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.39 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.1 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (5.41) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 27.82 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 278.01 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 16.43 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 39.82 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 39.5 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 22.81 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2,018 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.42 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 12.73 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (442.98 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (526.33 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 202.37 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.81 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 173 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 10.50 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.56 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (126.14 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.33 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.14) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 81.64 | |
| Number Of Employees | 578 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.71 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 37.4 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 954.56 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (489.75 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 524.3 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 954.56 M |
Note: Acquisition by Shanti Gupta of 125000 shares of Ast Spacemobile subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ast Spacemobile Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ast . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 96.29 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 96.29 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.91) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (5.83) |
Ast Spacemobile Target Price Consensus
Ast target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ast Spacemobile's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 7 | Strong Buy |
Most Ast analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Ast stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Ast Spacemobile, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationAst Spacemobile Target Price Projection
Ast Spacemobile's current and average target prices are 96.29 and 81.64, respectively. The current price of Ast Spacemobile is the price at which Ast Spacemobile is currently trading. On the other hand, Ast Spacemobile's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Ast Spacemobile Market Quote on 10th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Ast Spacemobile Target Price
Ast Spacemobile Analyst Ratings
Ast Spacemobile's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Ast Spacemobile stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Ast Spacemobile's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Ast Spacemobile's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Ast Spacemobile Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ast Spacemobile? Buying financial instruments such as Ast Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Ast Spacemobile in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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SPAC
Entities that are involved in raising capital, merging with and acquiring companies, and investing in private equity through leveraged buyouts. The SPAC theme has 25 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize SPAC Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Ast Stock Analysis
When running Ast Spacemobile's price analysis, check to measure Ast Spacemobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ast Spacemobile is operating at the current time. Most of Ast Spacemobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ast Spacemobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ast Spacemobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ast Spacemobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.