Ast Spacemobile Stock Technical Analysis
| ASTS Stock | USD 111.21 10.88 8.91% |
As of the 2nd of February, Ast Spacemobile shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0851, mean deviation of 5.82, and Downside Deviation of 6.89. Ast Spacemobile technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Ast Spacemobile variance and potential upside to decide if Ast Spacemobile is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 111.21 per share. Given that Ast Spacemobile has jensen alpha of 0.6196, we suggest you to validate Ast Spacemobile's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Ast Spacemobile Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Ast, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AstAst Spacemobile's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Ast Spacemobile Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 81.64 | Strong Buy | 7 | Odds |
Most Ast analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ast stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ast Spacemobile, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ast conference calls.
Is there potential for Wireless Telecommunication Services market expansion? Will Ast introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ast Spacemobile. If investors know Ast will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Ast Spacemobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.03) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 12.399 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Ast Spacemobile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ast that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ast Spacemobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ast Spacemobile's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Ast Spacemobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ast Spacemobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Ast Spacemobile's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ast Spacemobile represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Ast Spacemobile's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Ast Spacemobile 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ast Spacemobile's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ast Spacemobile.
| 11/04/2025 |
| 02/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ast Spacemobile on November 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ast Spacemobile or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ast Spacemobile over 90 days. Ast Spacemobile is related to or competes with EchoStar, Check Point, Figma, Rigetti Computing, SSC Technologies, STMicroelectronics, and CDW Corp. AST SpaceMobile, Inc. operates space-based cellular broadband network for mobile phones More
Ast Spacemobile Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ast Spacemobile's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ast Spacemobile upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 6.89 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0991 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.34) | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.34 |
Ast Spacemobile Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ast Spacemobile's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ast Spacemobile's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ast Spacemobile historical prices to predict the future Ast Spacemobile's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0851 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6196 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4086 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1058 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1848 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ast Spacemobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ast Spacemobile February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0851 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1948 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.82 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.21 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 6.89 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 950.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.36 | |||
| Variance | 54.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0991 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6196 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4086 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1058 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1848 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.34) | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 47.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 38.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.21) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2111 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.46) |
Ast Spacemobile Backtested Returns
Ast Spacemobile is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. Ast Spacemobile secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the company had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.01% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Ast Spacemobile Mean Deviation of 5.82, risk adjusted performance of 0.0851, and Downside Deviation of 6.89 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Ast Spacemobile holds a performance score of 10 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 4.14, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ast Spacemobile will likely underperform. Use Ast Spacemobile potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to analyze future returns on Ast Spacemobile.
Auto-correlation | 0.28 |
Poor predictability
Ast Spacemobile has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ast Spacemobile time series from 4th of November 2025 to 19th of December 2025 and 19th of December 2025 to 2nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ast Spacemobile price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Ast Spacemobile price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.28 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.06 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 240.61 |
Ast Spacemobile technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Ast Spacemobile Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Ast Spacemobile volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Ast Spacemobile Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Ast Spacemobile on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ast Spacemobile based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Ast Spacemobile price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Ast Spacemobile. By analyzing Ast Spacemobile's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ast Spacemobile's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Ast Spacemobile specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 50.8 | 48.26 | PTB Ratio | 7.82 | 7.43 |
Ast Spacemobile February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Ast help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ast from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Ast charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0851 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1948 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.82 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.21 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 6.89 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 950.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.36 | |||
| Variance | 54.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0991 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6196 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4086 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1058 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1848 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.34) | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 47.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 38.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.21) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2111 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.46) |
Ast Spacemobile February 2, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ast stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.16 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.51) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | ||
| Day Median Price | 119.28 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 116.59 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (13.51) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 21.22 |
Additional Tools for Ast Stock Analysis
When running Ast Spacemobile's price analysis, check to measure Ast Spacemobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ast Spacemobile is operating at the current time. Most of Ast Spacemobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ast Spacemobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ast Spacemobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ast Spacemobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.