Aterian Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ATER Stock | USD 2.40 0.01 0.42% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aterian is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aterian given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aterian. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aterian, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Aterian Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Aterian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aterian guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aterian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Aterian. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
Aterian |
Execute Aterian Buy or Sell Advice
The Aterian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aterian. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aterian or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aterian's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Aterian Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Aterian generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aterian has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aterian has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 142.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (74.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 105.52 M. | |
| Aterian currently holds about 34.78 M in cash with (13.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.54. | |
| Aterian has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Aterian, Inc. Price Target After Its Latest Report |
Aterian Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Aterian's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aterian's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aterian daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aterian price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aterian returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aterian.
| Mean Return | -0.22 | Value At Risk | -5.91 | Potential Upside | 4.21 | Standard Deviation | 3.23 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aterian historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Aterian Stock Institutional Investors
The Aterian's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Aterian's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Simplex Trading, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 20.5 K | Prudential Financial Inc | 2024-09-30 | 17.6 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 15.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 10.9 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-06-30 | 6.8 K | Tower Research Capital Llc | 2024-06-30 | 3.3 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-06-30 | 2.8 K | Apollo Management Holdings Lp | 2024-06-30 | 2.3 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 328 | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 284 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 87.3 K |
Aterian Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (5.4M) | 18.2M | (19.3M) | 19.4M | 26.4M | 27.7M | |
| Investments | (1.3M) | (39.1M) | (44.9M) | (677K) | (853K) | (895.7K) | |
| Change In Cash | 10.1M | (692K) | 8.2M | 8.3M | (24.4M) | (23.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 7.5M | 11.2M | 36.2M | (15.6M) | (14.1M) | (13.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (25.4M) | 5.0M | (42.0M) | (17.6M) | (13.5M) | (14.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 183K | 552K | 7.3M | 7.5M | 3.9M | 3.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.3M | 15.0M | (18.6M) | 137.0M | 34.6M | 26.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 114K | 89K | 32K | 82K | 119K | 71.1K | |
| Net Income | (43.4M) | (63.1M) | (234.7M) | (196.3M) | (74.6M) | (78.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 30.8M | 30.1M | 38.3M | 46.6M | 22.2M | 30.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 34.9M | 57.9M | 196.6M | 132.4M | 152.3M | 77.7M |
Aterian Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aterian or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aterian's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aterian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Aterian Volatility Alert
Aterian exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.26 and kurtosis of 1.37. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aterian's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aterian's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Aterian Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Aterian's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aterian's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aterian and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aterian or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aterian's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aterian by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Aterian to competition |
| Fundamentals | Aterian | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.5 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.17 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.17) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.07) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 12.06 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 8.76 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 22.01 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 8.66 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 264.91 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 0.68 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.20 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 142.57 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 105.52 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (69.42 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (74.56 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 34.78 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.54 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 12.15 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.19 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.54 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.50 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (13.39 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.03 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.61) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 8.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 114 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.07 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 20.92 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 61.87 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (699.82 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 24.19 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 61.87 M |
Note: Disposition of 1919 shares by Joshua Feldman of Aterian at 3.07 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Aterian Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aterian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Aterian Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Aterian? Buying financial instruments such as Aterian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
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Additional Tools for Aterian Stock Analysis
When running Aterian's price analysis, check to measure Aterian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aterian is operating at the current time. Most of Aterian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aterian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aterian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aterian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.