Grupo Aval Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AVAL Stock  USD 2.80  0.09  3.11%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Grupo Aval is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Grupo Aval's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Grupo Aval Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Grupo Stock please use our How to buy in Grupo Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Grupo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Grupo Aval. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Grupo Aval Buy or Sell Advice

The Grupo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Grupo Aval. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Grupo Aval or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Grupo Aval's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Grupo AvalBuy Grupo Aval
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Grupo Aval has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2298, Jensen Alpha of 0.4406, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2864, Sortino Ratio of 0.2544 and Treynor Ratio of 0.9917
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Grupo Aval. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Grupo Aval is not overpriced, please check out all Grupo Aval fundamentals, including its revenue, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Please also validate Grupo Aval number of shares shorted to confirm your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Grupo Aval Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Grupo Aval has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 9th of December 2024 Grupo Aval paid $ 0.0095 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: BayFirst Financial Reports Strong Q4 and New Initiatives - TipRanks

Grupo Aval Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Grupo Aval's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Grupo Aval's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Grupo Aval daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Grupo Aval price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Grupo Aval returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Grupo Aval.
Mean Return
0.49
Value At Risk
-2.82
Potential Upside
2.96
Standard Deviation
1.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Grupo Aval historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Grupo Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
47.5 K
Ethic Inc.2024-09-30
32 K
Epacria Capital Partners Llc2024-09-30
31.1 K
Mariner Wealth Advisors Llc2024-09-30
16.4 K
Banco Btg Pactual S.a.2024-09-30
15.4 K
Mercer Global Advisors Inc.2024-09-30
14.3 K
Cwm Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
14.1 K
Vident Advisory, Llc2024-09-30
10.6 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
6.2 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
813.7 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
106.2 K
Note, although Grupo Aval's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Grupo Aval Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash3.9T2.6T(19.6T)1.6T1.4T747.5B
Free Cash Flow8.0T3.6T(1.4T)511.9B588.7B559.3B
Depreciation1.4T1.4T1.1T1.2T1.3T849.9B
Other Non Cash Items(3.0T)(3.4T)(5.5T)(3.2T)(2.9T)(2.7T)
Dividends Paid1.3T1.2T414.3B766.5B881.5B1.0T
Capital Expenditures2.0T2.3T1.1T1.3T1.5T1.3T
Net Income6.5T8.5T6.3T3.5T4.0T4.4T
End Period Cash Flow34.0T36.6T17.0T18.6T21.4T21.7T
Investments(7.6T)(6.6T)(13.0T)1.8T1.7T1.7T
Net Borrowings1.2T3.1T829.1B(7.5T)(6.8T)(6.4T)
Change To Netincome1.8T1.1T1.8T(3.1T)(2.8T)(2.7T)

Grupo Aval Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Grupo Aval or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Grupo Aval's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Grupo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
2.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Grupo Aval Volatility Alert

Grupo Aval has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.08 and kurtosis of 4.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Grupo Aval's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Grupo Aval's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Grupo Aval Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Grupo Aval's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Grupo Aval's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Grupo Aval and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Grupo Aval or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Grupo Aval's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Aval by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Grupo Aval to competition
FundamentalsGrupo AvalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.051-0.31
Return On Asset0.0052-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.30 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation47.59 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding377.11 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions0.49 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted60.18 K4.71 M
Price To Earning3.11 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.84 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.0003 X11.42 X
Revenue11.71 T9.43 B
Gross Profit10.77 T27.38 B
EBITDA(270 B)3.9 B
Net Income3.49 T570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents17.33 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share15.55 X5.01 X
Total Debt65.54 T5.32 B
Debt To Equity14.32 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share706.83 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.81 T971.22 M
Short Ratio2.04 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.16 X3.12 X
Target Price3.0
Beta0.5-0.15
Market Capitalization3.02 B19.03 B
Total Asset301.18 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings7.73 T9.33 B
Annual Yield0.06 %
Five Year Return6.04 %
Net Asset301.18 T

Grupo Aval Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Grupo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Grupo Aval Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Grupo Aval? Buying financial instruments such as Grupo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Grupo Aval in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Video Games
Video Games Theme
Companies that are involved in the building and marketing of video games or gaming software. The Video Games theme has 22 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Video Games Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Grupo Aval is a strong investment it is important to analyze Grupo Aval's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Grupo Aval's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Grupo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Grupo Aval Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Grupo Stock please use our How to buy in Grupo Stock guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grupo Aval. If investors know Grupo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grupo Aval listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.229
Earnings Share
0.16
Revenue Per Share
9.1 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Return On Assets
0.0052
The market value of Grupo Aval is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grupo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grupo Aval's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grupo Aval's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grupo Aval's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grupo Aval's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Aval's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Aval is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Aval's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.