Azek Company Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AZEK Stock  USD 49.97  0.07  0.14%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Azek Company is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Azek's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Azek Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Azek and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Azek Company. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Azek Buy or Sell Advice

The Azek recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Azek Company. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Azek Company or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Azek's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AzekBuy Azek
Strong Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Azek Company has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0718, Jensen Alpha of 0.1342, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1026, Sortino Ratio of 0.0635 and Treynor Ratio of 0.181
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement Azek trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Azek is not overpriced, please confirm all Azek Company fundamentals, including its gross profit, book value per share, and the relationship between the price to earning and cash per share . Given that Azek Company has a number of shares shorted of 5.63 M, we suggest you to validate Azek Company market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Azek Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Azek Company is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: The AZEK Co Inc Announces Fiscal Q1 2025 Results Release Date

Azek Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Azek's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Azek's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Azek daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Azek Company price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Azek returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Azek.
Mean Return
0.16
Value At Risk
-2.33
Potential Upside
3.79
Standard Deviation
2.04
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Azek historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Azek Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Woodline Partners Lp2024-09-30
807.3 K
Note, although Azek's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Azek Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Borrowings(661.3M)(1.9M)124.0M(8.6M)(7.8M)(8.1M)
Capital Expenditures175.1M172.4M88.5M77.1M88.7M89.2M
Change To Netincome153.0M52.2M53.3M13.4M15.4M14.6M
Change To Inventory(58.8M)(97.5M)78.7M(47.5M)(42.8M)(40.6M)
Change In Cash35.5M(129.7M)157.5M(114.3M)(102.9M)(97.7M)
Depreciation101.6M118.5M132.5M89.6M103.1M101.1M
Net Income93.2M75.2M68.0M153.4M176.4M185.2M
End Period Cash Flow250.5M120.8M278.3M164.0M188.6M181.3M
Investments(175.1M)(280.2M)(88.5M)49.1M56.5M59.3M
Free Cash Flow32.6M(66.6M)274.0M147.3M169.4M177.9M
Other Non Cash Items4.4M6.1M4.3M(23.0M)(20.7M)(19.6M)

Azek Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Azek or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Azek's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Azek stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.83
σ
Overall volatility
2.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Azek Volatility Alert

Azek Company currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Azek's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Azek's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Azek Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Azek's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Azek's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Azek and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Azek or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Azek's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Azek by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Azek to competition
FundamentalsAzekPeer Average
Return On Equity0.12-0.31
Return On Asset0.0603-0.14
Profit Margin0.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.45 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding143.56 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.70 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.30 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.63 M4.71 M
Price To Earning31.47 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.28 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.84 X11.42 X
Revenue1.44 B9.43 B
Gross Profit557.36 M27.38 B
EBITDA387.95 M3.9 B
Net Income153.38 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents159.62 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.05 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.3 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.46 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.96 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.63 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations224.48 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.93 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.04 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.54 X4.89 X
Target Price55.86
Number Of Employees2.24 K18.84 K
Beta1.89-0.15
Market Capitalization7.17 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.17 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings89 M9.33 B
Working Capital254.34 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1709 shares by Samara Toole of Azek at 53.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Azek Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Azek . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Azek Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Azek Company? Buying financial instruments such as Azek Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Azek in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Fabricated Products Thematic Idea Now

Fabricated Products
Fabricated Products Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Fabricated Products theme has 11 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Fabricated Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Azek Company is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Azek Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Azek Company Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Azek Company Stock:
Check out Azek Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Azek. If investors know Azek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Azek listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.478
Earnings Share
1.04
Revenue Per Share
10.094
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.121
Return On Assets
0.0603
The market value of Azek Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Azek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Azek's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Azek's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Azek's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Azek's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Azek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Azek is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Azek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.