Bg Foods Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BGS Stock | USD 6.49 0.04 0.62% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding BG Foods is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell BG Foods given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for BG Foods, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out BG Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy BGS Stock please use our How to Invest in BG Foods guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as BGS and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. BG Foods. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
BGS |
Execute BG Foods Buy or Sell Advice
The BGS recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BG Foods. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BG Foods or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BG Foods' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
BG Foods Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| BG Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BG Foods has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.06 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (66.2 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 432.32 M. | |
| BG Foods has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Is BG Foods Among the Best Pizza Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds |
BG Foods Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of BG Foods' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of BG Foods' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BG Foods daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BG Foods price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BG Foods returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for BG Foods.
| Mean Return | -0.23 | Value At Risk | -4.57 | Potential Upside | 4.12 | Standard Deviation | 3.60 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BG Foods historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
BGS Stock Institutional Investors
The BG Foods' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase BG Foods' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Gilman Hill Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 636.5 K | Dana Investment Advisors Inc | 2024-09-30 | 635.5 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 532.6 K | Savoir Faire Capital Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 429.3 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 423.2 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 422.3 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 389.7 K | Verition Fund Managegment, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 379.4 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 373.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 12.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 9.6 M |
BG Foods Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 17.3M | (117.3M) | (125.0M) | 89.9M | 80.9M | 85.0M | |
| Change In Cash | 40.9M | (18.5M) | 11.8M | (4.3M) | (3.9M) | (3.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 254.7M | 50.3M | (16.3M) | 222.1M | 255.4M | 268.1M | |
| Depreciation | 75.7M | 96.9M | 97.4M | 88.4M | 101.6M | 106.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 4.6M | 42.4M | 104.1M | 165.6M | 190.5M | 200.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 26.7M | 43.6M | 22.3M | 25.7M | 29.5M | 20.2M | |
| Net Income | 132.0M | 67.4M | (11.4M) | (66.2M) | (76.1M) | (72.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 52.2M | 33.7M | 45.4M | 41.1M | 47.3M | 35.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 121.9M | 122.9M | 133.4M | 56.0M | 64.4M | 74.7M | |
| Change Receivables | (12.9M) | 13.9M | 10.8M | (12.5M) | (14.4M) | (15.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 237M | 447.5M | (70M) | 117.5M | 105.8M | 114.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 24.3M | 53.2M | 50.4M | 76.4M | 87.8M | 92.2M | |
| Investments | (568.9M) | (42.8M) | (39.1M) | 29.8M | 34.3M | 36.0M |
BG Foods Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BG Foods or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BG Foods' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BGS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
BG Foods Volatility Alert
BG Foods exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.23 and kurtosis of 13.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BG Foods' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BG Foods' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.BG Foods Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing BG Foods' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze BG Foods' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between BG Foods and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as BG Foods or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of BG Foods' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BG Foods by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare BG Foods to competition |
| Fundamentals | BG Foods | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0329 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0372 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.01) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.6 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 79.16 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.90 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 67.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 9.26 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 6.63 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.68 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.26 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.06 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 432.32 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 152.91 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (66.2 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 45.44 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.60 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.12 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.52 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.27 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.54 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 247.76 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.23 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.32) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 7.93 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 7.93 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.69 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.66 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 513.77 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.46 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 785.09 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 540.41 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Kenneth Keller of 273000 shares of BG Foods at 19.63 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
BG Foods Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BGS . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About BG Foods Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell BG Foods? Buying financial instruments such as BGS Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for BGS Stock Analysis
When running BG Foods' price analysis, check to measure BG Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BG Foods is operating at the current time. Most of BG Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BG Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BG Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BG Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.