Bumble Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BMBL Stock  USD 8.41  0.30  3.70%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Bumble Inc is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Bumble's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Bumble Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Bumble and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Bumble Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Bumble Buy or Sell Advice

The Bumble recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Bumble Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Bumble Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Bumble's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BumbleBuy Bumble
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Bumble Inc has a Mean Deviation of 2.4, Semi Deviation of 2.78, Standard Deviation of 3.32, Variance of 11.0, Downside Variance of 9.32 and Semi Variance of 7.72
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Bumble Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Bumble is not overpriced, please confirm all Bumble Inc fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, cash and equivalents, earnings per share, as well as the relationship between the revenue and current ratio . Given that Bumble Inc has a number of shares shorted of 9.64 M, we suggest you to validate Bumble Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Bumble Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Bumble Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Bumble Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 763.25 M.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Acquisition by Elizabeth Monteleone of 63968 shares of Bumble subject to Rule 16b-3

Bumble Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Bumble's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Bumble's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Bumble daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Bumble Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Bumble returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Bumble.
Mean Return
0.27
Value At Risk
-4.74
Potential Upside
4.82
Standard Deviation
3.32
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Bumble historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Bumble Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
1.6 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-09-30
1.6 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
1.5 M
Joho Capital Llc2024-09-30
1.4 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-09-30
1.2 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
M
Blackstone Inc2024-09-30
30.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
10.6 M
Note, although Bumble's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Bumble Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash70.8M240.9M33.4M(46.9M)(42.2M)(40.1M)
Free Cash Flow45.6M91.2M116.6M167.2M192.2M105.6M
Depreciation91.8M107.1M89.7M68.0M78.2M67.7M
Other Non Cash Items(109.3M)91.4M82.6M12.4M14.3M14.6M
Dividends Paid23.4M360M545K1.3B1.5B1.6B
Capital Expenditures10.6M13.7M16.3M14.9M17.2M13.4M
End Period Cash Flow128.3M369.2M402.6M355.6M409.0M246.8M
Change To Netincome21.4M69.1M(263.5M)192.3M221.1M232.2M

Bumble Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bumble or Interactive Media & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bumble's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bumble stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
3.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Bumble Volatility Alert

Bumble Inc shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bumble's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bumble's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Bumble Implied Volatility

Bumble's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bumble Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bumble's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bumble stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bumble's options are near their expiration.

Bumble Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Bumble's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Bumble's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Bumble and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Bumble or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Bumble's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bumble by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Bumble to competition
FundamentalsBumblePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.42-0.31
Return On Asset0.0248-0.14
Profit Margin(0.54) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.29 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding108.18 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted9.64 M4.71 M
Price To Earning96.14 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.07 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.17 X11.42 X
Revenue1.05 B9.43 B
Gross Profit763.25 M27.38 B
EBITDA121.4 M3.9 B
Net Income(4.21 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents334.64 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.58 X5.01 X
Total Debt635.37 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.26 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.97 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.57 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations182.09 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.26 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(4.72) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.19 X4.89 X
Target Price8.07
Number Of Employees1.2 K18.84 K
Beta1.63-0.15
Market Capitalization1.27 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.63 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(144.08 M)9.33 B
Working Capital248.14 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 65297 shares by Lidiane Jones of Bumble at 7.97 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Bumble Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Bumble . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Bumble Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Bumble Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Bumble Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Bumble in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Tech Funds Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Tech Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Bumble Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Bumble's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Bumble's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Bumble Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Bumble Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bumble. If investors know Bumble will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bumble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.418
Earnings Share
(4.72)
Revenue Per Share
8.512
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0248
The market value of Bumble Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bumble that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bumble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bumble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bumble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bumble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bumble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bumble is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bumble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.