BAE Systems (Germany) Market Outlook
| BSP Stock | EUR 21.90 0.72 3.18% |
Roughly 61% of BAE Systems' investor base is looking to short. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in BAE Systems plc suggests that many traders are, at the present time, alarmed. The current market sentiment, together with BAE Systems' historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use BAE Systems plc stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 39
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use BAE Systems' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward BAE Systems plc.
News SentimentNeutral | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding BAE Systems plc is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides BAE Systems buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BSP positions.
Execute BAE Systems Advice
The BAE recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BAE Systems plc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BAE Systems plc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BAE Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Soft | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
For the selected time horizon BAE Systems plc has a Mean Deviation of 2.03, Semi Deviation of 2.86, Standard Deviation of 2.65, Variance of 7.02, Downside Variance of 8.64 and Semi Variance of 8.18Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on BAE Systems. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at this time. To make sure BAE Systems is not overpriced, please confirm all BAE Systems plc fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares owned by institutions, revenue, as well as the relationship between the shares outstanding and price to book .
BAE Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| BAE Systems plc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Are Aerospace Stocks Lagging Bae Systems This Year - Yahoo Finance Singapore |
BAE Systems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of BAE Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of BAE Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BAE Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BAE Systems plc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BAE Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for BAE Systems.
| Mean Return | 0.13 | Value At Risk | -4.41 | Potential Upside | 4.63 | Standard Deviation | 2.65 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BAE Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
BAE Systems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 54M | (93M) | (223M) | (144M) | (129.6M) | (123.1M) | |
| Investments | (18M) | (1M) | (541M) | (5.3B) | (4.7B) | (4.5B) | |
| Change In Cash | 250M | 190M | 1.0B | (649M) | (746.4M) | (709.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (584M) | (636M) | 162M | 3.1B | 3.6B | 3.8B | |
| Depreciation | 594M | 656M | 782M | 1.1B | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| Dividends Paid | 777M | 802M | 857M | (937M) | (843.3M) | (801.1M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 516M | 599M | 957M | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.4B | |
| Net Income | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 2.0B | 2.2B | 1.3B | |
| Change To Netincome | (192M) | (1.1B) | (81M) | 161M | 144.9M | 152.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.9B | 3.1B | 4.1B | 3.4B | 3.9B | 3.4B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 2.0B | 2.1B | 2.8B | 2.8B | 3.2B | 1.9B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 263M | 228M | 128M | 379M | 341.1M | 224.5M |
BAE Systems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BAE Systems or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BAE Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BAE stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
BAE Systems Volatility Alert
BAE Systems plc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BAE Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BAE Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.BAE Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing BAE Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze BAE Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between BAE Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as BAE Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of BAE Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BAE Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare BAE Systems to competition |
| Fundamentals | BAE Systems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0427 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 72.4 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.92 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.44 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 73.78 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 19.87 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.14 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.41 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 26.31 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.48 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.36 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.96 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.01 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.94 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 599 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 90.70 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.06 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.15 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.92 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.75 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.84 X | 4.89 X |
| Number Of Employees | 109.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | -0.009 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 65.96 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 38.14 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.84 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (589 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 6.54 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 6.92 B | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % |
BAE Systems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BAE . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About BAE Systems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell BAE Systems plc? Buying financial instruments such as BAE Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having BAE Systems in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Compulsion Thematic Idea Now
Compulsion
Companies involved in research, development, and manufacturing of products with compulsion characteristics such as cigarettes, addictive drugs and alcohol. The Compulsion theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Compulsion Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in BAE Stock
BAE Systems financial ratios help investors to determine whether BAE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BAE with respect to the benefits of owning BAE Systems security.