BAE Systems (Germany) Performance

BSP Stock  EUR 21.90  0.72  3.18%   
BAE Systems has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, BAE Systems' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BAE Systems is expected to be smaller as well. BAE Systems plc at this moment shows a risk of 2.73%. Please confirm BAE Systems plc jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and sortino ratio , to decide if BAE Systems plc will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BAE Systems plc are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, BAE Systems may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0182
Payout Ratio
0.5069
Forward Dividend Rate
0.4
Ex Dividend Date
2025-10-23
1
BAE Systems Assessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Movement - Yahoo Finance
11/19/2025
2
BAE Systems Plc Hits Day Low of GBP 17.09 Amid Price Pressure - Markets Mojo
12/03/2025
3
FTSE All Share setting reflects BAE Systems role in aerospace and security - Kalkine Media
12/30/2025
4
Is It Too Late To Consider BAE Systems After MultiYear Share Price Surge - Yahoo Finance
01/29/2026
5
Are Aerospace Stocks Lagging Bae Systems This Year - Yahoo Finance Singapore
02/12/2026
  

BAE Systems Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,040  in BAE Systems plc on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  150.00  from holding BAE Systems plc or generate 7.35% return on investment over 90 days. BAE Systems plc is currently producing 0.1532% returns and takes up 2.7316% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 24% of traded stocks are less volatile than BAE, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon BAE Systems is expected to generate 3.55 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

BAE Systems Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of BAE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.90 90 days 21.90 
about 32.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BAE Systems to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 32.38 (This BAE Systems plc probability density function shows the probability of BAE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BAE Systems has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BAE Systems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BAE Systems plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BAE Systems plc has an alpha of 0.1126, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BAE Systems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BAE Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BAE Systems plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.2421.9324.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.4918.1824.09
Details

BAE Systems Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BAE Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BAE Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BAE Systems plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BAE Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
1.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

BAE Systems Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BAE Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BAE Systems plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BAE Systems plc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Are Aerospace Stocks Lagging Bae Systems This Year - Yahoo Finance Singapore

BAE Systems Fundamentals Growth

BAE Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of BAE Systems, and BAE Systems fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on BAE Stock performance.

About BAE Systems Performance

By analyzing BAE Systems' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into BAE Systems' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if BAE Systems has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if BAE Systems has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
BAE Systems plc provides defense, aerospace, and security solutions worldwide. BAE Systems plc was incorporated in 1979 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. BAE SYSTEMS is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.

Things to note about BAE Systems plc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about BAE Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for BAE Systems plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BAE Systems plc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Are Aerospace Stocks Lagging Bae Systems This Year - Yahoo Finance Singapore
Evaluating BAE Systems' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate BAE Systems' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing BAE Systems' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether BAE Systems' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining BAE Systems' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating BAE Systems' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of BAE Systems' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of BAE Systems' stock. These opinions can provide insight into BAE Systems' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating BAE Systems' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact BAE Systems' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for BAE Stock analysis

When running BAE Systems' price analysis, check to measure BAE Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BAE Systems is operating at the current time. Most of BAE Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BAE Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BAE Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BAE Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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