Blackstone Mortgage Trust Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BXMT Stock  USD 18.95  0.29  1.55%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Blackstone Mortgage Trust is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Blackstone Mortgage Trust given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Blackstone Mortgage. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Blackstone Mortgage Trust, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Blackstone Mortgage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Blackstone and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Blackstone Mortgage Trust. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Blackstone Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice

The Blackstone recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Blackstone Mortgage Trust. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Blackstone Mortgage Trust or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Blackstone Mortgage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Blackstone MortgageBuy Blackstone Mortgage
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InconclusiveDetails
For the selected time horizon Blackstone Mortgage Trust has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0756, Jensen Alpha of 0.0479, Total Risk Alpha of (0.10), Sortino Ratio of 0.0014 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1981
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Blackstone Mortgage Trust and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Blackstone Mortgage is not overpriced, please confirm all Blackstone Mortgage Trust fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, debt to equity, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that Blackstone Mortgage Trust has a price to earning of 13.50 X, we suggest you to validate Blackstone Mortgage Trust market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Blackstone Mortgage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Blackstone Mortgage has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of October 2024 Blackstone Mortgage paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Oaktree Eyes Private Credit Loan in Australian Advisory Purchase

Blackstone Mortgage Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Blackstone Mortgage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Blackstone Mortgage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Blackstone Mortgage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Blackstone Mortgage Trust price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Blackstone Mortgage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Blackstone Mortgage.
Mean Return
0.13
Value At Risk
-2.25
Potential Upside
2.27
Standard Deviation
1.44
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Blackstone Mortgage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Blackstone Stock Institutional Investors

The Blackstone Mortgage's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Blackstone Mortgage's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
1.4 M
Artemis Investment Management Llp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
1.2 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
1.1 M
Mesirow Institutional Investment Management, Inc.2024-09-30
872.6 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
818.5 K
Van Eck Associates Corporation2024-06-30
785.5 K
Advisors Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
779.3 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
730.9 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
29.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
18.3 M
Note, although Blackstone Mortgage's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Blackstone Mortgage Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash44.4M139.9M261.2M(259.8M)58.7M61.6M
Free Cash Flow304.0M336.6M382.5M396.8M458.8M481.8M
Depreciation(57.9M)(56.8M)(68.9M)(81.7M)(78.4M)(74.5M)
Other Non Cash Items(25.9M)145.3M(74.7M)241.5M192.7M202.3M
Net Income307.4M140.4M422.3M251.1M249.9M262.4M
End Period Cash Flow150.1M290.0M551.2M291.3M350.0M367.5M
Dividends Paid321.0M348.9M370.7M421.4M426.9M448.3M
Investments(1.9B)(25.0M)(5.7B)(3.5B)1.1B1.2B
Net Borrowings1.0B(2.2B)5.0B1.5B1.8B1.4B
Change To Netincome30.7M52.9M27.7M29.1M33.4M35.1M

Blackstone Mortgage Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Blackstone Mortgage or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Blackstone Mortgage's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Blackstone stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
1.44
Ir
Information ratio 0

Blackstone Mortgage Volatility Alert

Blackstone Mortgage Trust has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.19 and kurtosis of 0.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Blackstone Mortgage's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Blackstone Mortgage's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Blackstone Mortgage Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Blackstone Mortgage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Blackstone Mortgage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Blackstone Mortgage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Blackstone Mortgage or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Blackstone Mortgage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blackstone Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Blackstone Mortgage to competition
FundamentalsBlackstone MortgagePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0577-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0106-0.14
Operating Margin2.52 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation20.23 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding172.99 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.31 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions66.84 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted23.41 M4.71 M
Price To Earning13.50 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.84 X9.51 X
Price To Sales7.70 X11.42 X
Revenue420.88 M9.43 B
Gross Profit416.55 M27.38 B
EBITDA251.92 M3.9 B
Net Income249.9 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents367.56 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.14 X5.01 X
Total Debt19.3 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.41 %48.70 %
Current Ratio128.20 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share22.02 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations458.84 M971.22 M
Short Ratio15.26 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.40) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth254.80 X4.89 X
Target Price20.0
Beta1.53-0.15
Market Capitalization3.23 B19.03 B
Total Asset24.04 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.15 B)9.33 B
Annual Yield0.10 %
Five Year Return8.18 %
Net Asset24.04 B
Note: Acquisition by Lynne Sagalyn of 3275 shares of Blackstone Mortgage subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Blackstone Mortgage Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Blackstone . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Blackstone Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Blackstone Mortgage Trust? Buying financial instruments such as Blackstone Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Blackstone Mortgage in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Construction Materials theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Construction Materials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Blackstone Stock Analysis

When running Blackstone Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure Blackstone Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackstone Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of Blackstone Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackstone Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackstone Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackstone Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.