Blackstone Mortgage Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

BXMT Stock  USD 20.01  0.40  2.04%   
Blackstone Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the rsi of Blackstone Mortgage's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Blackstone Mortgage's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Blackstone Mortgage Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Blackstone Mortgage's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.71)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2972
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.8659
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.4676
Wall Street Target Price
20.9375
Using Blackstone Mortgage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blackstone Mortgage Trust from the perspective of Blackstone Mortgage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Blackstone Mortgage using Blackstone Mortgage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Blackstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Blackstone Mortgage's stock price.

Blackstone Mortgage Short Interest

An investor who is long Blackstone Mortgage may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Blackstone Mortgage and may potentially protect profits, hedge Blackstone Mortgage with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
19.1662
Short Percent
0.06
Short Ratio
4.93
Shares Short Prior Month
9.7 M
50 Day MA
19.633

Blackstone Relative Strength Index

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Blackstone Mortgage's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Blackstone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Blackstone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Blackstone Mortgage Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Blackstone Mortgage's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Blackstone Mortgage.

Blackstone Mortgage Implied Volatility

    
  0.63  
Blackstone Mortgage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Blackstone Mortgage Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Blackstone Mortgage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Blackstone Mortgage stock will not fluctuate a lot when Blackstone Mortgage's options are near their expiration.

Blackstone Mortgage after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blackstone Mortgage to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Blackstone contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Blackstone Mortgage Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Blackstone Mortgage trading at USD 20.01, that is roughly USD 0.007879 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Blackstone Mortgage's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Blackstone Mortgage Trust options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Blackstone Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Blackstone Mortgage's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Blackstone Mortgage's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Blackstone Mortgage stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Blackstone Mortgage's open interest, investors have to compare it to Blackstone Mortgage's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Blackstone Mortgage is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Blackstone. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Blackstone Mortgage Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Blackstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blackstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blackstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust has current Accumulation Distribution of 116178.0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Blackstone Mortgage is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Blackstone Mortgage Trust to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Blackstone Mortgage trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Blackstone Mortgage VolatilityBacktest Blackstone MortgageInformation Ratio  

Blackstone Mortgage Trading Date Momentum

On February 11 2026 Blackstone Mortgage Trust was traded for  20.01  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 20.35  and the lowest listed price was  19.26 . The trading volume for the day was 2.2 M. The trading history from February 11, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 3.15% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Blackstone Mortgage to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Blackstone Mortgage

For every potential investor in Blackstone, whether a beginner or expert, Blackstone Mortgage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blackstone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blackstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blackstone Mortgage's price trends.

Blackstone Mortgage Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blackstone Mortgage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blackstone Mortgage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blackstone Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Blackstone Mortgage Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blackstone Mortgage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blackstone Mortgage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blackstone Mortgage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blackstone Mortgage Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Blackstone Mortgage Risk Indicators

The analysis of Blackstone Mortgage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blackstone Mortgage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blackstone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Blackstone Mortgage

The number of cover stories for Blackstone Mortgage depends on current market conditions and Blackstone Mortgage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blackstone Mortgage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blackstone Mortgage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Blackstone Mortgage Short Properties

Blackstone Mortgage's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blackstone Mortgage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blackstone Mortgage Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blackstone Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackstone Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding171 M
Cash And Short Term Investments452.5 M

Additional Tools for Blackstone Stock Analysis

When running Blackstone Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure Blackstone Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackstone Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of Blackstone Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackstone Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackstone Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackstone Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.