Cae Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CAE Stock  CAD 32.71  0.26  0.80%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding CAE Inc is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of CAE's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out CAE Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as CAE and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards CAE Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute CAE Buy or Sell Advice

The CAE recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CAE Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CAE Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CAE's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CAEBuy CAE
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon CAE Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1809, Jensen Alpha of 0.4277, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1521, Sortino Ratio of 0.1956 and Treynor Ratio of 1.34
Our advice module can be used to complement CAE investment recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at this time. To make sure CAE is not overpriced, please confirm all CAE Inc fundamentals, including its current valuation, price to book, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit .

CAE Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the revenue of 4.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (296.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.17 B.
Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: CAE Inc. Short Interest Up 7.4 percent in October - MarketBeat

CAE Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of CAE's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CAE's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CAE daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CAE Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CAE returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for CAE.
Mean Return
0.48
Value At Risk
-2.08
Potential Upside
2.81
Standard Deviation
2.10
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CAE historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

CAE Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(87.5M)43.4M107.3M(65.6M)(76.3M)(72.5M)
Change In Cash500.4M(20.4M)(580M)(128.5M)(57.5M)(54.6M)
Free Cash Flow161.1M203M55.4M(16.9M)126.3M72.2M
Depreciation305.4M319.5M310.5M342.2M359.6M377.6M
Other Non Cash Items(53.4M)204.7M(11.3M)(45.9M)579.1M608.1M
Capital Expenditures384M163.6M362.8M425.3M477.7M501.6M
Net Income318.9M(47.5M)150M231.9M(296.3M)(281.5M)
End Period Cash Flow946.5M926.1M346.1M217.6M160.1M284.2M
Investments(495.9M)(5.9M)3.4M(400.7M)(215.4M)(226.2M)
Net Borrowings563M(841.4M)552.1M(168.7M)(194.0M)(184.3M)
Change To Netincome(19.5M)143.8M(56.5M)(42M)(48.3M)(50.7M)

CAE Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CAE or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CAE's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CAE stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

CAE Volatility Alert

CAE Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.01 and kurtosis of 14.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CAE's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CAE's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

CAE Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing CAE's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CAE's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CAE and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CAE or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CAE's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CAE by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare CAE to competition
FundamentalsCAEPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0737-0.31
Return On Asset0.0279-0.14
Profit Margin(0.07) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation13.4 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding318.59 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.15 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions76.14 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.07 M4.71 M
Price To Earning45.93 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.36 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.35 X11.42 X
Revenue4.28 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.17 B27.38 B
EBITDA117.7 M3.9 B
Net Income(296.3 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents217.6 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.37 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.07 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.18 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.17 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.76 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations604 M971.22 M
Short Ratio8.36 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.08) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.77 X4.89 X
Target Price31.35
Number Of Employees13 K18.84 K
Beta1.91-0.15
Market Capitalization10.42 B19.03 B
Total Asset9.83 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.76 B9.33 B
Working Capital(351.9 M)1.48 B

CAE Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CAE . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About CAE Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell CAE Inc? Buying financial instruments such as CAE Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having CAE in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Large Value Funds Thematic Idea Now

Large Value Funds
Large Value Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of large-sized companies. The Large Value Funds theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Value Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether CAE Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze CAE's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CAE's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CAE Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CAE Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CAE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CAE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CAE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.