Cae Inc Stock Performance

CAE Stock  CAD 40.34  0.57  1.39%   
CAE has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.98, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. CAE returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CAE is expected to follow. CAE Inc at this moment shows a risk of 1.95%. Please confirm CAE Inc treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if CAE Inc will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CAE Inc are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, CAE may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2026. ...more
Last Split Factor
2:1
Dividend Date
2020-03-31
Ex Dividend Date
2020-03-12
Last Split Date
2001-07-05
1
CAE Share Price Passes Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Should You Sell - MarketBeat
12/30/2025
2
September 18th Options Now Available For CAE - Nasdaq
01/15/2026
3
Scotiabank Maintains CAE Inc With Buy Rating, Raises Target Price to 40.96 -
01/21/2026
4
Where are the Opportunities in - Stock Traders Daily
01/29/2026
5
CAE Trump Threats Hurt The Stock, But I Remain Bullish - Seeking Alpha
02/04/2026
6
CAE Inc CAE Shares Bought by Cibc World Market Inc. - MarketBeat
02/11/2026
7
CAE Inc. Receives Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy from Analysts - MarketBeat
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow160.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-732.3 M
  

CAE Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,816  in CAE Inc on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  218.00  from holding CAE Inc or generate 5.71% return on investment over 90 days. CAE Inc is generating 0.1112% of daily returns assuming 1.9452% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 17% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than CAE, and 98% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CAE is expected to generate 2.54 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.54 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.03 per unit of risk.

CAE Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CAE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 40.34 90 days 40.34 
about 73.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CAE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.33 (This CAE Inc probability density function shows the probability of CAE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CAE has a beta of 0.98 suggesting CAE Inc market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CAE is expected to follow. Additionally CAE Inc has an alpha of 0.0964, implying that it can generate a 0.0964 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CAE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CAE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CAE Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.2440.1942.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.4941.4443.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.1441.0943.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.280.420.31
Details

CAE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CAE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CAE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CAE Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CAE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.98
σ
Overall volatility
2.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

CAE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CAE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CAE Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: CAE Inc. Receives Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy from Analysts - MarketBeat

CAE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CAE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CAE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CAE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding319.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments293.7 M

CAE Fundamentals Growth

CAE Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CAE, and CAE fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CAE Stock performance.

About CAE Performance

By examining CAE's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into CAE's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that CAE is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 57.36  47.50 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.04 

Things to note about CAE Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about CAE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CAE Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: CAE Inc. Receives Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy from Analysts - MarketBeat
Evaluating CAE's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CAE's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing CAE's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CAE's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining CAE's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating CAE's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CAE's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CAE's stock. These opinions can provide insight into CAE's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating CAE's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact CAE's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether CAE Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze CAE's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CAE's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CAE Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in CAE Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
It's important to distinguish between CAE's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CAE should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, CAE's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.