Cargurus Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CARG Stock  USD 35.62  0.11  0.31%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding CarGurus is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides CarGurus buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CarGurus positions.
  
Check out CarGurus Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in CarGurus Stock please use our How to Invest in CarGurus guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as CarGurus and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. CarGurus. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute CarGurus Buy or Sell Advice

The CarGurus recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CarGurus. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CarGurus or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CarGurus' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CarGurusBuy CarGurus
Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon CarGurus has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1667, Jensen Alpha of 0.2187, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0849, Sortino Ratio of 0.1604 and Treynor Ratio of 0.295
CarGurus advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure CarGurus is not overpriced, please confirm all CarGurus fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, target price, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that CarGurus has a price to earning of 19.41 X, we suggest you to validate CarGurus market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

CarGurus Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Online Marketplace Stocks Q3 In Review CarGurus Vs Peers

CarGurus Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of CarGurus' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CarGurus' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CarGurus daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CarGurus price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CarGurus returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for CarGurus.
Mean Return
0.38
Value At Risk
-2.48
Potential Upside
3.59
Standard Deviation
1.81
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CarGurus historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

CarGurus Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Vitruvian Partners2024-06-30
1.4 M
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans2024-09-30
1.3 M
Fort Washington Investment Advisors Inc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Prevatt Capital Ltd2024-06-30
1.1 M
Select Equity Group Lp2024-09-30
1.1 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
M
Sunriver Management Llc2024-09-30
M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
893 K
Glenmede Trust Co Na2024-09-30
780 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
12.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
9.5 M
Note, although CarGurus' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

CarGurus Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory305K10.4M(17.3M)14.4M2.0M2.1M
Investments11.1M11.7M10M90M(119.8M)(113.9M)
Change In Cash33.2M130.2M47.4M235.9M(190.2M)(180.7M)
Free Cash Flow55.9M149.2M84.4M238.8M83.3M84.6M
Depreciation7.8M11.3M40.5M45.3M48.5M50.9M
Other Non Cash Items8.8M13.6M16.7M13.3M12.2M8.7M
Capital Expenditures14.2M7.5M13.9M17.3M41.2M43.3M
Net Income42.1M77.6M110.4M79.0M22.1M21.0M
End Period Cash Flow70.7M200.9M248.3M484.1M293.9M185.7M
Change To Netincome31.0M69.3M63.7M34.8M40.0M25.9M
Change Receivables(9.6M)3.9M(174.8M)153.0M175.9M184.7M

CarGurus Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CarGurus or Interactive Media & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CarGurus' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CarGurus stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

CarGurus Volatility Alert

CarGurus has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.23 and kurtosis of 0.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CarGurus' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CarGurus' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

CarGurus Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing CarGurus' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CarGurus' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CarGurus and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CarGurus or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CarGurus' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CarGurus by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare CarGurus to competition
FundamentalsCarGurusPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0774-0.31
Return On Asset0.0563-0.14
Profit Margin(0.05) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.19 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.64 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding87.95 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.63 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.22 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.49 M4.71 M
Price To Earning19.41 X28.72 X
Price To Book7.64 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.16 X11.42 X
Revenue914.24 M9.43 B
Gross Profit657.72 M27.38 B
EBITDA111.98 M3.9 B
Net Income22.05 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents404.43 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.40 X5.01 X
Total Debt194.39 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.09 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.06 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.68 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations124.53 M971.22 M
Short Ratio12.35 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.45) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.47 X4.89 X
Target Price38.27
Number Of Employees1.34 K18.84 K
Beta1.56-0.15
Market Capitalization3.69 B19.03 B
Total Asset918.93 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings354.15 M9.33 B
Working Capital276.01 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 9544 shares by Zachary Hallowell of CarGurus at 35.41 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

CarGurus Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CarGurus . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About CarGurus Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell CarGurus? Buying financial instruments such as CarGurus Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having CarGurus in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Giant Impact Thematic Idea Now

Giant Impact
Giant Impact Theme
An experimental equal-weighted decomposition of large high potential stocks based on Macroaxis scoring framework. The Giant Impact theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Giant Impact Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether CarGurus is a strong investment it is important to analyze CarGurus' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CarGurus' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CarGurus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CarGurus Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in CarGurus Stock please use our How to Invest in CarGurus guide.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CarGurus. If investors know CarGurus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CarGurus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.265
Earnings Share
(0.45)
Revenue Per Share
8.361
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.054
Return On Assets
0.0563
The market value of CarGurus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CarGurus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CarGurus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CarGurus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CarGurus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CarGurus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CarGurus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CarGurus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CarGurus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.