Cargurus Stock Performance

CARG Stock  USD 30.17  0.97  3.32%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.85, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, CarGurus' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CarGurus is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, CarGurus has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to confirm CarGurus' potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and market facilitation index , to decide if CarGurus performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days CarGurus has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.32
Five Day Return
10.27
Year To Date Return
(19.87)
Ten Year Return
9.39
All Time Return
9.39
1
Did AI Innovations and Double-Digit Revenue Growth Just Shift CarGurus Investment Narrative
11/28/2025
2
CarGurus Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why
12/09/2025
3
Disposition of 10000 shares by Samuel Zales of CarGurus at 38. subject to Rule 16b-3
12/16/2025
4
Disposition of 8452 shares by Jason Trevisan of CarGurus at .04 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/22/2025
5
Disposition of 16548 shares by Jason Trevisan of CarGurus at .02 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/23/2025
6
Disposition of 279 shares by Jennifer Hanson of CarGurus at 37.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
7
CarGurus Valuation Check As New AI Tools And Branding Mark Its Next Phase
01/26/2026
8
Online Marketplace Stocks Q3 Recap Benchmarking Shutterstock
02/02/2026
9
Assessing CarGurus After Recent Share Price Weakness And Cash Flow Strength
02/04/2026
10
CarGurus, Inc. May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26 percent Price Plummet
02/06/2026
11
PROSY or CARG Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now
02/10/2026
12
CarGurus Expands Big Deal Brand Campaign, Introducing AI-Powered Dealership Mode and CarGurus Discover
02/11/2026
13
CarGurus Q4 Earnings Preview What You Should Know Beyond the Headline Estimates
02/17/2026
14
What To Expect From CarGuruss Q4 Earnings
02/18/2026
15
CarGurus Q4 Earnings Snapshot
02/19/2026
16
What Analysts Are Saying About CarGurus Stock
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow306.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-29.3 M

CarGurus Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,519  in CarGurus on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (502.00) from holding CarGurus or give up 14.27% of portfolio value over 90 days. CarGurus is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.0591% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than CarGurus, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CarGurus is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.78 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

CarGurus Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CarGurus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.17 90 days 30.17 
about 89.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CarGurus to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.33 (This CarGurus probability density function shows the probability of CarGurus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CarGurus has a beta of 0.85 suggesting CarGurus market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CarGurus is expected to follow. Additionally CarGurus has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CarGurus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CarGurus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CarGurus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.0930.1732.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.1534.4836.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.8930.9733.05
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.0137.3841.49
Details

CarGurus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CarGurus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CarGurus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CarGurus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CarGurus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
3.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

CarGurus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CarGurus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CarGurus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CarGurus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CarGurus is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
CarGurus has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from benzinga.com: What Analysts Are Saying About CarGurus Stock

CarGurus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CarGurus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CarGurus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CarGurus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments190.5 M

CarGurus Fundamentals Growth

CarGurus Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CarGurus, and CarGurus fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CarGurus Stock performance.

About CarGurus Performance

By analyzing CarGurus' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into CarGurus' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if CarGurus has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CarGurus has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 0.91  0.87 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.25  0.26 
Return On Capital Employed 0.44  0.46 
Return On Assets 0.24  0.25 
Return On Equity 0.42  0.44 

Things to note about CarGurus performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about CarGurus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CarGurus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CarGurus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CarGurus is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
CarGurus has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from benzinga.com: What Analysts Are Saying About CarGurus Stock
Evaluating CarGurus' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CarGurus' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing CarGurus' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CarGurus' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining CarGurus' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating CarGurus' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CarGurus' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CarGurus' stock. These opinions can provide insight into CarGurus' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating CarGurus' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact CarGurus' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for CarGurus Stock analysis

When running CarGurus' price analysis, check to measure CarGurus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CarGurus is operating at the current time. Most of CarGurus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CarGurus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CarGurus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CarGurus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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