Cincinnati Financial (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CCJ Stock  EUR 152.10  0.15  0.1%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Cincinnati Financial is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Cincinnati Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CCJ positions.
  
Check out Cincinnati Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Cincinnati Stock please use our How to Invest in Cincinnati Financial guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cincinnati and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Cincinnati Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Cincinnati Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Cincinnati recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cincinnati Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cincinnati Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cincinnati Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cincinnati FinancialBuy Cincinnati Financial
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Cincinnati Financial has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1743, Jensen Alpha of 0.1872, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0773, Sortino Ratio of 0.1599 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2778
Macroaxis provides advice on Cincinnati Financial to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Cincinnati Financial. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Cincinnati Financial is not overpriced, please confirm all Cincinnati Financial fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to earning, price to sales, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to book .

Cincinnati Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the revenue of 6.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (486 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (533 M).
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Cincinnati Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cincinnati Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cincinnati Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cincinnati Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cincinnati Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cincinnati Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cincinnati Financial.
Mean Return
0.36
Value At Risk
-1.98
Potential Upside
3.08
Standard Deviation
1.61
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cincinnati Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cincinnati Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cincinnati Financial or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cincinnati Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cincinnati stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.25
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Cincinnati Financial Volatility Alert

Cincinnati Financial has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.5 and kurtosis of 1.68. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cincinnati Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cincinnati Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cincinnati Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cincinnati Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cincinnati Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cincinnati Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cincinnati Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cincinnati Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cincinnati Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cincinnati Financial to competition
FundamentalsCincinnati FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0411-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0131-0.14
Profit Margin(0.07) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.1) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation15.27 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding157.24 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.11 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions68.92 %39.21 %
Price To Earning12.72 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.47 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.26 X11.42 X
Revenue6.56 B9.43 B
Gross Profit(533 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(532 M)3.9 B
Net Income(486 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents803 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.92 X5.01 X
Total Debt841 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity9.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share67.03 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.98 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(2.88) X3.12 X
Target Price133.0
Number Of Employees1018.84 K
Beta0.66-0.15
Market Capitalization17.88 B19.03 B
Total Asset29.74 B29.47 B
Z Score12.68.72
Annual Yield0.02 %
Five Year Return2.52 %
Net Asset29.74 B
Last Dividend Paid2.76

Cincinnati Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cincinnati . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cincinnati Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cincinnati Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Cincinnati Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cincinnati Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Utilities - Regulated Electric Thematic Idea Now

Utilities - Regulated Electric
Utilities - Regulated Electric Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Utilities - Regulated Electric theme has 7 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Utilities - Regulated Electric Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cincinnati Stock

When determining whether Cincinnati Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cincinnati Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cincinnati Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cincinnati Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cincinnati Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Cincinnati Stock please use our How to Invest in Cincinnati Financial guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cincinnati Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cincinnati Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cincinnati Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.