Cincinnati Financial (Germany) Performance

CCJ Stock  EUR 132.15  0.65  0.49%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.12, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cincinnati Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cincinnati Financial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Cincinnati Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0043%. Please make sure to confirm Cincinnati Financial's information ratio, total risk alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Cincinnati Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cincinnati Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Cincinnati Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
  

Cincinnati Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  13,301  in Cincinnati Financial on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (86.00) from holding Cincinnati Financial or give up 0.65% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cincinnati Financial is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.1708% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 10% of traded stocks are less volatile than Cincinnati, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cincinnati Financial is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Cincinnati Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cincinnati Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 132.15 90 days 132.15 
over 95.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cincinnati Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.77 (This Cincinnati Financial probability density function shows the probability of Cincinnati Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cincinnati Financial has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cincinnati Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cincinnati Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cincinnati Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cincinnati Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cincinnati Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cincinnati Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
130.98132.15133.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
125.69126.86145.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
127.66128.83130.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
132.67138.31143.95
Details

Cincinnati Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cincinnati Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cincinnati Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cincinnati Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cincinnati Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
3.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Cincinnati Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cincinnati Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cincinnati Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cincinnati Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 6.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (486 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (533 M).
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Cincinnati Financial Fundamentals Growth

Cincinnati Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cincinnati Financial, and Cincinnati Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cincinnati Stock performance.

About Cincinnati Financial Performance

By analyzing Cincinnati Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Cincinnati Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Cincinnati Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cincinnati Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiary, provides property casualty insurance products in the United States. Cincinnati Financial Corporation was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Fairfield, Ohio. CINCINNATI FINL operates under Insurance - Property Casualty classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 4999 people.

Things to note about Cincinnati Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cincinnati Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cincinnati Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cincinnati Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 6.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (486 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (533 M).
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Cincinnati Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cincinnati Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cincinnati Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cincinnati Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cincinnati Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cincinnati Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cincinnati Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cincinnati Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cincinnati Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cincinnati Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cincinnati Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Cincinnati Stock analysis

When running Cincinnati Financial's price analysis, check to measure Cincinnati Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cincinnati Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Cincinnati Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cincinnati Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cincinnati Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cincinnati Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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