Caredx Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CDNA Stock | USD 24.11 0.98 4.24% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Caredx Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Caredx buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Caredx positions.
Check out Caredx Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Caredx and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Caredx Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Caredx |
Execute Caredx Buy or Sell Advice
The Caredx recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Caredx Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Caredx Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Caredx's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Caredx Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Caredx Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Caredx Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 280.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (190.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 209.58 M. | |
| Caredx Inc currently holds about 306.22 M in cash with (18.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.73. | |
| Caredx Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CareDx Inc Trading 6.16 percent Higher on Oct 2 - GuruFocus.com |
Caredx Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Caredx's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Caredx's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Caredx daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Caredx Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Caredx returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Caredx.
| Mean Return | -0.37 | Value At Risk | -6.01 | Potential Upside | 4.05 | Standard Deviation | 3.69 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Caredx historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Caredx Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 1.3 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 814.7 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 750.9 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 625.5 K | Blue Water Life Science Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 604 K | Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 594.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 5.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4.5 M |
Caredx Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (1.3M) | (3.2M) | (6.9M) | (2.9M) | 54K | 56.7K | |
| Change In Cash | (26.3M) | 96.5M | 213.8M | (258.3M) | (7.7M) | (7.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (6.1M) | 23.1M | (39.6M) | (49.6M) | (27.6M) | (26.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 5.5M | 9.5M | 11.9M | 16.0M | 19.8M | 20.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.8M | 309K | 298K | 3.2M | (3.6M) | (3.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.3M | 10.4M | 20.3M | 24.3M | 9.2M | 7.1M | |
| Net Income | (22.0M) | (18.7M) | (30.7M) | (76.6M) | (190.3M) | (180.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 38.5M | 134.9M | 348.7M | 90.4M | 82.8M | 79.9M | |
| Change Receivables | (4.0M) | (12.7M) | (10.4M) | (24.4M) | (22.0M) | (20.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (14.5M) | (172K) | (183K) | (66K) | (75.9K) | (79.7K) | |
| Dividends Paid | 26.8M | 4.4M | 1.4M | 2.1M | 2.5M | 4.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 21.2M | 24.2M | 37.9M | 49.6M | 57.0M | 59.9M | |
| Investments | (1M) | (90.0M) | 83.4M | (228.5M) | 40.4M | 42.5M |
Caredx Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Caredx or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Caredx's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Caredx stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Caredx Volatility Alert
Caredx Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.58 and kurtosis of 5.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Caredx's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Caredx's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Caredx Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Caredx's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Caredx's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Caredx and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Caredx or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Caredx's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caredx by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Caredx to competition |
| Fundamentals | Caredx | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.43 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.075 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.46) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.13) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.03 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 53.63 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.43 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.00 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.45 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (4.25) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.54 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.97 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 280.32 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 209.58 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (89.66 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (190.28 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 306.22 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.73 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 34.22 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.15 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.14 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (18.39 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.71 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.69) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.12) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 34.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 635 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.8 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.24 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 466.83 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (678.27 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 235.64 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Goldberg Michael of 837 shares of Caredx subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Caredx Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Caredx . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Caredx Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Caredx Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Caredx Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Caredx in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Consumption Thematic Idea Now
Consumption
Companies that deliver final goods such as cars or clothing for consumption by consumers. The Consumption theme has 19 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumption Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Caredx Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caredx. If investors know Caredx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Caredx listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.69) | Revenue Per Share 5.952 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.234 | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (0.43) |
The market value of Caredx Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caredx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caredx's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caredx's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Caredx's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caredx's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Caredx's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caredx is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caredx's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.