Century Aluminum Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CENX Stock | USD 22.49 0.12 0.53% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Century Aluminum is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Century Aluminum given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Century Aluminum. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Century Aluminum, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Century Aluminum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Century Stock please use our How to Invest in Century Aluminum guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Century and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Century Aluminum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Century |
Execute Century Aluminum Buy or Sell Advice
The Century recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Century Aluminum. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Century Aluminum or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Century Aluminum's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Century Aluminum Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Century Aluminum appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (43.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.7 M. | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Eastone Century Technology Co.,Ltd. Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 27 |
Century Aluminum Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Century Aluminum's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Century Aluminum's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Century Aluminum daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Century Aluminum price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Century Aluminum returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Century Aluminum.
| Mean Return | 0.80 | Value At Risk | -4.6 | Potential Upside | 7.10 | Standard Deviation | 4.19 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Century Aluminum historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Century Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Century Aluminum, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Century Aluminum back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Sourcerock Group Llc | 2024-09-30 | 932.4 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 920.2 K | Voloridge Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 913.6 K | Impala Asset Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 850 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 823 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-06-30 | 639.9 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 639.8 K | Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 631.3 K | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 621.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 9.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 6.1 M |
Century Aluminum Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 4.4M | (15.5M) | (134.5M) | (12.8M) | 25.8M | 27.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (41.9M) | 29.5M | (147.7M) | (60.4M) | 10.6M | 11.1M | |
| Depreciation | 83.2M | 83M | 82.6M | 73.4M | 74.7M | 67.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.8M | 58.8M | (3.7M) | (38M) | 104.8M | 67.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 83M | 59.6M | 13.4M | 86.3M | 95M | 99.8M | |
| Net Income | (80.8M) | (123.3M) | (167.1M) | (14.1M) | (43.1M) | (45.3M) | |
| Investments | 20.8M | (11.8M) | 1.6M | (85.5M) | (33M) | (31.4M) | |
| Change Receivables | (51.8M) | 5.3M | 39.9M | (15.5M) | (14.0M) | (13.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 388.1M | 250M | 129.4M | 75.9M | 87.3M | 104.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 5.8M | 59.8M | 70.6M | 10M | 11.5M | 10.9M |
Century Aluminum Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Century Aluminum or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Century Aluminum's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Century stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Century Aluminum Volatility Alert
Century Aluminum shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Century Aluminum's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Century Aluminum's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Century Aluminum Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Century Aluminum's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Century Aluminum's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Century Aluminum and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Century Aluminum or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Century Aluminum's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Century Aluminum by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Century Aluminum to competition |
| Fundamentals | Century Aluminum | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.57 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0346 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.54 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 92.8 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 43.00 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 61.69 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.73 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.08 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.20 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.99 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.19 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 46.7 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 43.4 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (43.1 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 64.8 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.71 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 503.4 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.99 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.87 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.03 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 105.6 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.21 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.15 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.36) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 21.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.94 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.47 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.09 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.85 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.1 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 13958 shares by Jesse Gary of Century Aluminum at 16.67 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Century Aluminum Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Century . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Century Aluminum Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Century Aluminum? Buying financial instruments such as Century Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Century Stock Analysis
When running Century Aluminum's price analysis, check to measure Century Aluminum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Century Aluminum is operating at the current time. Most of Century Aluminum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Century Aluminum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Century Aluminum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Century Aluminum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.