Cognyte Software Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CGNT Stock  USD 7.95  0.13  1.66%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cognyte Software is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cognyte Software given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Cognyte Software. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cognyte Software, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Cognyte Software Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Cognyte Stock please use our How to Invest in Cognyte Software guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cognyte and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Cognyte Software. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Cognyte Software Buy or Sell Advice

The Cognyte recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cognyte Software. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cognyte Software or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cognyte Software's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cognyte SoftwareBuy Cognyte Software
Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Cognyte Software has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0444, Jensen Alpha of (0.03), Total Risk Alpha of (0.36), Sortino Ratio of 0.007 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0988
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Cognyte Software. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Cognyte Software is not overpriced, please confirm all Cognyte Software fundamentals, including its cash per share, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Cognyte Software has a price to earning of 105.36 X, we suggest you to validate Cognyte Software market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Cognyte Software Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cognyte Software had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 313.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 192.75 M.
Cognyte Software has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Cognyte Software Surges 9.0 percent Is This an Indication of Further Gains

Cognyte Software Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cognyte Software's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cognyte Software's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cognyte Software daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cognyte Software price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cognyte Software returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cognyte Software.
Mean Return
0.15
Value At Risk
-3.53
Potential Upside
5.20
Standard Deviation
3.15
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cognyte Software historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cognyte Stock Institutional Investors

The Cognyte Software's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Cognyte Software's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
674.4 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
450.6 K
Scalar Gauge Management, Llc2024-09-30
440 K
Essex Investment Management Company, Llc2024-09-30
389.4 K
Analyst Ims Investment Management Services Ltd.2024-09-30
351.5 K
Ark Investment Management Llc2024-09-30
270.3 K
Phoenix Financial Ltd2024-09-30
219 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
177.9 K
Public Employees Retirement System Of Ohio2024-09-30
162.1 K
American Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
6.4 M
Edenbrook Capital Llc2024-09-30
6.3 M
Note, although Cognyte Software's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cognyte Software Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(392K)(1.1M)(363K)(13.1M)(960K)(1.0M)
Change In Cash(49.3M)(118.8M)43.6M(119.2M)44.2M46.4M
Free Cash Flow45.9M52.0M(15.2M)(48.7M)25.5M26.8M
Depreciation17.3M22.5M21.3M18.1M13.8M14.5M
Other Non Cash Items(2.7M)(4.7M)931K(1.9M)1.3M1.4M
Capital Expenditures21.3M19.3M17.8M11.7M9.1M9.5M
Net Income27.4M20.3M(10.3M)(110.0M)(15.6M)(14.8M)
End Period Cash Flow233.4M114.7M158.2M39.0M83.1M87.3M
Investments24.4M2.6M(17.9M)20.1M9.4M9.8M
Net Borrowings(6M)(7.0M)100M(100M)(90M)(85.5M)
Change To Netincome41.1M26.7M44.3M27.6M24.8M28.0M

Cognyte Software Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cognyte Software or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cognyte Software's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cognyte stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.43
σ
Overall volatility
3.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Cognyte Software Volatility Alert

Cognyte Software currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of -0.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cognyte Software's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cognyte Software's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cognyte Software Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cognyte Software's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cognyte Software's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cognyte Software and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cognyte Software or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cognyte Software's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cognyte Software by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cognyte Software to competition
FundamentalsCognyte SoftwarePeer Average
Return On Equity-8.0E-4-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0136-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation499.98 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding71.89 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.43 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions80.15 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted635.48 K4.71 M
Price To Earning105.36 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.86 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.70 X11.42 X
Revenue313.4 M9.43 B
Gross Profit192.75 M27.38 B
EBITDA573 K3.9 B
Net Income(15.57 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents50.27 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.74 X5.01 X
Total Debt33.36 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.13 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.27 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.74 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations34.56 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.88 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.06) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth12.83 X4.89 X
Target Price8.25
Number Of Employees1.61 K18.84 K
Beta1.71-0.15
Market Capitalization562.22 M19.03 B
Total Asset472.08 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(144.59 M)9.33 B
Working Capital74.51 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Pegus Cheryl of 22300 shares of Cognyte Software subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Cognyte Software Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cognyte . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cognyte Software Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cognyte Software? Buying financial instruments such as Cognyte Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cognyte Software in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Warren Buffett Holdings
Warren Buffett Holdings Theme
A long-term portfolio of publicly-traded stocks on US exchanges that are owned by Warren Buffett's holding company Berkshire Hathaway. The Warren Buffett Holdings theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Warren Buffett Holdings Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Cognyte Stock Analysis

When running Cognyte Software's price analysis, check to measure Cognyte Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cognyte Software is operating at the current time. Most of Cognyte Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cognyte Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cognyte Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cognyte Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.