Cognyte Software Stock Performance

CGNT Stock  USD 9.23  0.06  0.65%   
Cognyte Software has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.54, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Cognyte Software's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cognyte Software is expected to be smaller as well. Cognyte Software right now shows a risk of 2.42%. Please confirm Cognyte Software value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to decide if Cognyte Software will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cognyte Software are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Cognyte Software may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow80.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.7 M

Cognyte Software Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  837.00  in Cognyte Software on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  86.00  from holding Cognyte Software or generate 10.27% return on investment over 90 days. Cognyte Software is currently generating 0.189% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.4182% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Cognyte, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cognyte Software is expected to generate 3.23 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Cognyte Software Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cognyte Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.23 90 days 9.23 
about 30.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cognyte Software to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.53 (This Cognyte Software probability density function shows the probability of Cognyte Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cognyte Software has a beta of 0.54 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cognyte Software average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cognyte Software will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cognyte Software has an alpha of 0.1438, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cognyte Software Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cognyte Software

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cognyte Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.819.2311.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.669.0811.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.149.5611.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.809.289.77
Details

Cognyte Software Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cognyte Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cognyte Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cognyte Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cognyte Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Cognyte Software Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cognyte Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cognyte Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 350.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 277.99 M.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Cognyte Software Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cognyte Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cognyte Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cognyte Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding71.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments112.7 M

Cognyte Software Fundamentals Growth

Cognyte Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cognyte Software, and Cognyte Software fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cognyte Stock performance.

About Cognyte Software Performance

Assessing Cognyte Software's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Cognyte Software's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Cognyte Software is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Cognyte Software Ltd. provides an investigative analytics software to governments and enterprises worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Herzliya, Israel. Cognyte Software operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2002 people.

Things to note about Cognyte Software performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cognyte Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cognyte Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 350.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 277.99 M.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Cognyte Software's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cognyte Software's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cognyte Software's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cognyte Software's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cognyte Software's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cognyte Software's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cognyte Software's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cognyte Software's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cognyte Software's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cognyte Software's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cognyte Software's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Cognyte Stock Analysis

When running Cognyte Software's price analysis, check to measure Cognyte Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cognyte Software is operating at the current time. Most of Cognyte Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cognyte Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cognyte Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cognyte Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.