China Natural Resources Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CHNR Stock  USD 0.63  0.02  3.08%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding China Natural Resources is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell China Natural Resources given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards China Natural. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for China Natural Resources, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out China Natural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. China Natural Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute China Natural Buy or Sell Advice

The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Natural Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Natural Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Natural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell China NaturalBuy China Natural
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Very regressive towards the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon China Natural Resources has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0393, Jensen Alpha of 0.5012, Total Risk Alpha of (1.06), Sortino Ratio of 0.0353 and Treynor Ratio of (0.26)
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on China Natural Resources. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure China Natural is not overpriced, please confirm all China Natural Resources fundamentals, including its price to sales, cash flow from operations, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . As China Natural Resources appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its price to book numbers.

China Natural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

China Natural had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
China Natural has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (10.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 241 K.
China Natural has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: CHNR Stock Surges Amidst Industry Activity

China Natural Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of China Natural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Natural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Natural daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Natural Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Natural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Natural.
Mean Return
0.35
Value At Risk
-9.88
Potential Upside
12.50
Standard Deviation
8.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Natural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

China Stock Institutional Investors

The China Natural's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase China Natural's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Sabby Management Llc2024-06-30
104.9 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
46 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-06-30
300
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
8.0
Note, although China Natural's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

China Natural Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(148K)490K(201K)257K(182K)(172.9K)
Change In Cash(3.3M)(994K)1.8M(26.7M)(26.9M)(25.6M)
Free Cash Flow(3.3M)(4.6M)(12.2M)(13.0M)13.3M14.0M
Depreciation1.3M1.0M2.8M2.5M1.6M1.5M
Other Non Cash Items60K(31.3M)40.0M11.2M6.0M6.3M
Net Income(5.6M)24.2M(52.8M)(16.4M)(10.5M)(10.0M)
End Period Cash Flow3.4M2.5M58.4M31.7M4.8M4.5M
Investments(5K)(9K)5M7.1M(1.1M)(1.0M)
Net Borrowings36K3.4M(61.4M)(13.8M)(12.4M)(11.8M)

China Natural Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Natural or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Natural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.33
σ
Overall volatility
8.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

China Natural Volatility Alert

China Natural Resources is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. China Natural Resources is a potential penny stock. Although China Natural may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in China Natural Resources. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on China instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

China Natural Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing China Natural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Natural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Natural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Natural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Natural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Natural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare China Natural to competition
FundamentalsChina NaturalPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0658-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0281-0.14
Current Valuation5.61 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding9.87 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders58.16 %10.09 %
Number Of Shares Shorted88.51 K4.71 M
Price To Earning2.95 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.59 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.15 X11.42 X
Gross Profit241 K27.38 B
EBITDA(12.34 M)3.9 B
Net Income(10.51 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents59.22 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.45 X5.01 X
Total Debt360 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.43 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.85 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.07 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations13.33 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.81 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.14) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees918.84 K
Beta0.79-0.15
Market Capitalization6.22 M19.03 B
Total Asset253.81 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.12 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(171.93 M)1.48 B
Current Asset24 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities53 M7.9 B
Net Asset253.81 M
Note: Disposition of 23920 shares by Anka Capital Ltd of China Natural at 8.369 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

China Natural Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About China Natural Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell China Natural Resources? Buying financial instruments such as China Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having China Natural in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Financials ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Financials ETFs
Financials ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Financials ETFs theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Additional Tools for China Stock Analysis

When running China Natural's price analysis, check to measure China Natural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Natural is operating at the current time. Most of China Natural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Natural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Natural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Natural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.