Churchill Downs (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CHR Stock   133.00  1.00  0.76%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Churchill Downs Incorporated is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Churchill Downs Incorporated given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Churchill Downs Incorporated, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Churchill Downs Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Churchill and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Churchill Downs Incorporated. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Churchill Downs Buy or Sell Advice

The Churchill recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Churchill Downs Incorporated. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Churchill Downs Incorporated or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Churchill Downs' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Churchill DownsBuy Churchill Downs
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Churchill Downs Incorporated has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0549, Jensen Alpha of 0.0944, Total Risk Alpha of (0.18), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 4.13
Macroaxis provides advice on Churchill Downs to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Churchill Downs Incorporated. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Churchill Downs is not overpriced, please confirm all Churchill Downs fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, z score, and the relationship between the net income and beta .

Churchill Downs Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Churchill Downs Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Churchill Downs' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Churchill Downs' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Churchill Downs daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Churchill Downs Incorporated price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Churchill Downs returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Churchill Downs.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-2.38
Potential Upside
2.46
Standard Deviation
1.66
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Churchill Downs historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Churchill Downs Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Churchill Downs or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Churchill Downs' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Churchill stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Churchill Downs Volatility Alert

Churchill Downs Incorporated has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.51 and kurtosis of 5.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Churchill Downs' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Churchill Downs' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Churchill Downs Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Churchill Downs' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Churchill Downs' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Churchill Downs and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Churchill Downs or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Churchill Downs' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Churchill Downs by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Churchill Downs to competition
FundamentalsChurchill DownsPeer Average
Return On Equity1.02-0.31
Return On Asset0.0547-0.14
Profit Margin0.24 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.22 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.69 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding37.38 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.78 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions76.99 %39.21 %
Price To Book13.28 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.72 X11.42 X
Revenue1.81 B9.43 B
Gross Profit566.4 M27.38 B
EBITDA875.1 M3.9 B
Net Income439.4 M570.98 M
Total Debt4.56 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share14.95 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations536.8 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share10.76 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees5.5 K18.84 K
Beta1.12-0.15
Market Capitalization8.66 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.21 B29.47 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0 %
Net Asset6.21 B
Last Dividend Paid0.71

Churchill Downs Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Churchill . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Churchill Downs Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Churchill Downs Incorporated? Buying financial instruments such as Churchill Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Churchill Downs in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Restaurants Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Churchill Stock Analysis

When running Churchill Downs' price analysis, check to measure Churchill Downs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Churchill Downs is operating at the current time. Most of Churchill Downs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Churchill Downs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Churchill Downs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Churchill Downs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.