Churchill Downs Valuation

CHR Stock   133.00  1.00  0.76%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Churchill Downs shows a prevailing Real Value of USD107.73 per share. The current price of the firm is USD133.0. Our model approximates the value of Churchill Downs from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 10.69 B, profit margin of 0.24 %, and Return On Equity of 1.02 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
133.00
Please note that Churchill Downs' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Churchill Downs is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Churchill Downs' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Churchill Downs' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 133.00, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  133.0 Real  107.73 Hype  133.0 Naive  132.34
The intrinsic value of Churchill Downs' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Churchill Downs' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
106.09
Downside
107.73
Real Value
146.30
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Churchill Downs Incorporated helps investors to forecast how Churchill stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Churchill Downs more accurately as focusing exclusively on Churchill Downs' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
122.89130.06137.22
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.36133.00134.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
130.69132.34133.98
Details

Churchill Downs Total Value Analysis

Churchill Downs Incorporated is currently anticipated to have takeover price of 10.69 B with market capitalization of 8.66 B, debt of 4.56 B, and cash on hands of . Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Churchill Downs fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company

Churchill Downs Investor Information

About 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.76. Churchill Downs last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2022. The entity had 1:2 split on the 22nd of May 2023. Based on the key indicators related to Churchill Downs' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiencyBased on the analysis of, Churchill Downs Incorporated is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in January.

Churchill Downs Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Churchill Downs has an asset utilization ratio of 29.16 percent. This implies that the Company is making USD0.29 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Churchill Downs Incorporated is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Churchill Downs Ownership Allocation

Churchill Downs holds a total of 37.38 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Churchill Downs Incorporated outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Churchill Downs to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Churchill Downs. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Churchill Downs Incorporated as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Churchill Downs Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 1.81 B. Net Income was 439.4 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 566.4 M.

About Churchill Downs Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Churchill Downs' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Churchill Downs based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Churchill Downs. We calculate exposure to Churchill Downs's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Churchill Downs's related companies.

8 Steps to conduct Churchill Downs' Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Churchill Downs' potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Churchill Downs' valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Churchill Downs' financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Churchill Downs' revenue streams: Identify Churchill Downs' primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Churchill Downs' industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Churchill Downs' growth potential: Evaluate Churchill Downs' management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Churchill Downs' financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Churchill Downs' estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Additional Tools for Churchill Stock Analysis

When running Churchill Downs' price analysis, check to measure Churchill Downs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Churchill Downs is operating at the current time. Most of Churchill Downs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Churchill Downs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Churchill Downs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Churchill Downs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.