China Mengniu Dairy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CIADY Stock | USD 21.64 0.41 1.86% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding China Mengniu Dairy is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell China Mengniu Dairy given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards China Mengniu. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for China Mengniu Dairy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out China Mengniu Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards China Mengniu Dairy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
China |
Execute China Mengniu Buy or Sell Advice
The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Mengniu Dairy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Mengniu Dairy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Mengniu's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
China Mengniu Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| China Mengniu Dairy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| China Mengniu Dairy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
China Mengniu Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of China Mengniu's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Mengniu's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Mengniu daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Mengniu Dairy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Mengniu returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Mengniu.
| Mean Return | 0.61 | Value At Risk | -6.2 | Potential Upside | 10.70 | Standard Deviation | 5.23 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Mengniu historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
China Mengniu Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Mengniu or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Mengniu's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
China Mengniu Volatility Alert
China Mengniu Dairy exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China Mengniu's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China Mengniu's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.China Mengniu Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing China Mengniu's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Mengniu's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Mengniu and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Mengniu or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Mengniu's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Mengniu by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare China Mengniu to competition |
| Fundamentals | China Mengniu | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0259 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 19.99 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 395.52 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.04 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 32.72 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.09 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.20 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 88.14 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 32.21 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 9.01 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 5.03 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 15.31 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 38.72 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 22.41 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.82 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.08 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 98.30 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 7.54 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.16 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.92 X | 4.89 X |
| Number Of Employees | 44.28 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.66 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 19.34 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 98.1 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 12.76 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.44 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 21.71 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 17.27 B | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Net Asset | 98.1 B |
China Mengniu Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About China Mengniu Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell China Mengniu Dairy? Buying financial instruments such as China Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for China Pink Sheet Analysis
When running China Mengniu's price analysis, check to measure China Mengniu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Mengniu is operating at the current time. Most of China Mengniu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Mengniu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Mengniu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Mengniu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.