Clearwater Paper Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CLW Stock  USD 27.62  0.83  3.10%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Clearwater Paper is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Clearwater Paper given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Clearwater Paper. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Clearwater Paper, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Clearwater Paper Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Clearwater Stock please use our How to Invest in Clearwater Paper guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Clearwater and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Clearwater Paper. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Clearwater Paper Buy or Sell Advice

The Clearwater recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Clearwater Paper. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Clearwater Paper or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Clearwater Paper's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Clearwater PaperBuy Clearwater Paper
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Clearwater Paper has a Mean Deviation of 2.03, Standard Deviation of 2.7 and Variance of 7.28
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Clearwater Paper. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Clearwater Paper is not overpriced, please confirm all Clearwater Paper fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, target price, and the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that Clearwater Paper has a price to earning of 8.36 X, we suggest you to validate Clearwater Paper market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Clearwater Paper Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Clearwater Paper generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Charter Hall Long WALE REIT adds AU91m to market cap in the past 7 days, though investors from five years ago are still down 2.3

Clearwater Paper Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Clearwater Paper's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Clearwater Paper's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Clearwater Paper daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Clearwater Paper price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Clearwater Paper returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Clearwater Paper.
Mean Return
-0.29
Value At Risk
-3.93
Potential Upside
3.63
Standard Deviation
2.70
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Clearwater Paper historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Clearwater Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Clearwater Paper, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Clearwater Paper back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2024-06-30
245.3 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
239.2 K
Anchor Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
235.9 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-06-30
197.5 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
192.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
177.4 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
172.8 K
Allianz Asset Management Ag2024-06-30
162.5 K
Prudential Financial Inc2024-09-30
156.9 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.7 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
1.4 M
Note, although Clearwater Paper's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Clearwater Paper Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(21.2M)18.1M(20.2M)(46.3M)4M4.2M
Change In Cash(2.5M)14.5M(10.7M)28.2M(12.4M)(11.8M)
Free Cash Flow(84.5M)207.4M58M116.7M117M122.9M
Depreciation115.6M111M105M103.3M98.6M91.7M
Other Non Cash Items10.6M13.9M45.4M12.5M6.6M6.3M
Capital Expenditures140.1M39.6M38.4M33.5M73.7M107.6M
Net Income(5.6M)77.1M(28.1M)46M107.7M113.1M
End Period Cash Flow22.4M36.9M26.2M54.4M42M21.3M
Change To Netincome14.1M59.3M42.1M15.4M17.7M26.0M
Investments(140.1M)(39.6M)(25.1M)(33.5M)(62.1M)(65.2M)
Net Borrowings82.4M(192.3M)(81M)(81.8M)(73.6M)(69.9M)

Clearwater Paper Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Clearwater Paper or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Clearwater Paper's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Clearwater stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.5
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.63
σ
Overall volatility
2.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Clearwater Paper Volatility Alert

Clearwater Paper exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.11 and kurtosis of 3.54. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Clearwater Paper's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Clearwater Paper's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Clearwater Paper Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Clearwater Paper's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Clearwater Paper's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Clearwater Paper and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Clearwater Paper or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Clearwater Paper's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clearwater Paper by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Clearwater Paper to competition
FundamentalsClearwater PaperPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0031-0.31
Return On Asset0.023-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.58 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding16.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.47 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.23 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted984.46 K4.71 M
Price To Earning8.36 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.67 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.21 X11.42 X
Revenue2.08 B9.43 B
Gross Profit256.7 M27.38 B
EBITDA275.3 M3.9 B
Net Income107.7 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents69.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.15 X5.01 X
Total Debt478.5 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.11 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.86 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share40.06 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations190.7 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.43 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.02 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth4.05 X4.89 X
Target Price37.0
Number Of Employees3.1 K18.84 K
Beta0.34-0.15
Market Capitalization457.6 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.67 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings684.5 M9.33 B
Working Capital278.1 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 4 shares by Michael Gadd of Clearwater Paper at 38.53 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Clearwater Paper Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Clearwater . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Clearwater Paper Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Clearwater Paper? Buying financial instruments such as Clearwater Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Clearwater Paper in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Large Growth Funds Thematic Idea Now

Large Growth Funds
Large Growth Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in stocks of large-sized companies with above-average risk and growth rate. The Large Growth Funds theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Growth Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Clearwater Stock Analysis

When running Clearwater Paper's price analysis, check to measure Clearwater Paper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clearwater Paper is operating at the current time. Most of Clearwater Paper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clearwater Paper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clearwater Paper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clearwater Paper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.