Carpenter Technology Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CRS Stock  USD 180.71  0.01  0.01%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Carpenter Technology is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Carpenter Technology given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Carpenter Technology. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Carpenter Technology, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Carpenter Technology Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Carpenter Stock please use our How to Invest in Carpenter Technology guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Carpenter and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Carpenter Technology. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Carpenter Technology Buy or Sell Advice

The Carpenter recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Carpenter Technology. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Carpenter Technology or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Carpenter Technology's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Carpenter TechnologyBuy Carpenter Technology
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Carpenter Technology has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1214, Jensen Alpha of 0.1912, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0934, Sortino Ratio of 0.1239 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1634
Macroaxis provides advice on Carpenter Technology to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Carpenter Technology. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Carpenter Technology is not overpriced, please confirm all Carpenter Technology fundamentals, including its book value per share, retained earnings, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Carpenter Technology has a price to earning of 854.00 X, we suggest you to validate Carpenter Technology market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Carpenter Technology Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Carpenter Tech Unusual Options Activity

Carpenter Technology Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Carpenter Technology's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Carpenter Technology's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Carpenter Technology daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Carpenter Technology price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Carpenter Technology returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Carpenter Technology.
Mean Return
0.41
Value At Risk
-2.91
Potential Upside
4.47
Standard Deviation
2.71
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Carpenter Technology historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Carpenter Stock Institutional Investors

The Carpenter Technology's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Carpenter Technology's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Wolf Hill Capital Management, Lp2024-06-30
673.9 K
Surgocap Partners Lp2024-09-30
662.7 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
645 K
Frontier Capital Management Co Inc2024-09-30
568.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
561.6 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
524 K
Hennessy Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
493.8 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
480.5 K
Hawk Ridge Management Llc2024-09-30
452.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
7.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
5.6 M
Note, although Carpenter Technology's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Carpenter Technology Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory31.3M238.5M(71.9M)(140.3M)(96.7M)(91.9M)
Change In Cash166.1M94.3M(133.2M)(109.7M)154.6M162.3M
Free Cash Flow60.4M149.5M(85.3M)(67.6M)178.3M187.2M
Depreciation123.9M123.6M131.4M131M134.6M81.9M
Dividends Paid38.8M39.1M39.2M39.4M40M31.9M
Capital Expenditures171.4M100.5M91.3M82.3M96.6M109.6M
Net Income1.5M(229.6M)(49.1M)56.4M186.5M195.8M
End Period Cash Flow193.1M287.4M154.2M44.5M199.1M141.2M
Other Non Cash Items135.8M158.5M(6.4M)22.4M110.5M116.0M
Investments(171.2M)(78.9M)(89.1M)(82.3M)(95.9M)(91.1M)
Change Receivables90.3M(14.9M)(79M)(144.5M)(130.1M)(123.5M)
Net Borrowings150.3M(24.5M)(3.4M)(1.9M)(1.7M)(1.6M)
Change To Netincome83.4M135.3M3.7M38.4M44.2M48.4M

Carpenter Technology Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Carpenter Technology or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Carpenter Technology's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Carpenter stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.45
σ
Overall volatility
2.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Carpenter Technology Volatility Alert

Carpenter Technology currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.12 and Jensen Alpha of 0.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Carpenter Technology's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Carpenter Technology's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Carpenter Technology Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Carpenter Technology's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Carpenter Technology's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Carpenter Technology and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Carpenter Technology or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Carpenter Technology's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Carpenter Technology by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Carpenter Technology to competition
FundamentalsCarpenter TechnologyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0765-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.16 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.75 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding49.84 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.19 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.33 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.16 M4.71 M
Price To Earning854.00 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.54 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.25 X11.42 X
Revenue2.76 B9.43 B
Gross Profit143.8 M27.38 B
EBITDA397.2 M3.9 B
Net Income186.5 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents44.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.09 X5.01 X
Total Debt741.4 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.57 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.80 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share33.31 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations274.9 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.76 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.48 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.59 X4.89 X
Target Price177.4
Number Of Employees4.6 K18.84 K
Beta1.47-0.15
Market Capitalization9.2 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.29 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.37 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.12 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Ward Jr Stephen M of 2445 shares of Carpenter Technology at 42.81 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Carpenter Technology Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Carpenter . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Carpenter Technology Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Carpenter Technology? Buying financial instruments such as Carpenter Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Carpenter Stock Analysis

When running Carpenter Technology's price analysis, check to measure Carpenter Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carpenter Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Carpenter Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carpenter Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carpenter Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carpenter Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.