Ciputra Development (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CTRA Stock  IDR 1,065  20.00  1.84%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Ciputra Development Tbk is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Ciputra Development's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Ciputra Development Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ciputra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ciputra Development Tbk. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Ciputra Development Buy or Sell Advice

The Ciputra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ciputra Development Tbk. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ciputra Development Tbk or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ciputra Development's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ciputra DevelopmentBuy Ciputra Development
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Ciputra Development Tbk has a Mean Deviation of 1.91, Standard Deviation of 2.44 and Variance of 5.94
Macroaxis provides advice on Ciputra Development Tbk to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Ciputra Development Tbk. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Ciputra Development is not overpriced, please confirm all Ciputra Development Tbk fundamentals, including its price to book, revenue, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to sales .

Ciputra Development Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ciputra Development generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ciputra Development Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ciputra Development's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ciputra Development's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ciputra Development daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ciputra Development Tbk price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ciputra Development returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ciputra Development.
Mean Return
-0.3
Value At Risk
-3.7
Potential Upside
3.29
Standard Deviation
2.44
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ciputra Development historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ciputra Development Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ciputra Development or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ciputra Development's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ciputra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.77
σ
Overall volatility
2.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Ciputra Development Volatility Alert

Ciputra Development Tbk exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.15 and kurtosis of 0.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ciputra Development's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ciputra Development's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ciputra Development Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ciputra Development's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ciputra Development's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ciputra Development and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ciputra Development or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ciputra Development's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ciputra Development by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ciputra Development to competition
FundamentalsCiputra DevelopmentPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0539-0.14
Profit Margin0.22 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.34 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation19.33 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding18.54 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders53.33 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions13.34 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.03 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.78 X11.42 X
Revenue9.73 T9.43 B
Gross Profit4.81 T27.38 B
EBITDA3.51 T3.9 B
Net Income1.74 T570.98 M
Total Debt8.2 T5.32 B
Book Value Per Share983.10 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.65 T971.22 M
Earnings Per Share121.00 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.61 X4.89 X
Target Price1327.7
Number Of Employees3.36 K18.84 K
Beta1.31-0.15
Market Capitalization17.89 T19.03 B
Total Asset40.67 T29.47 B
Z Score1.28.72
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset40.67 T
Last Dividend Paid14.0

Ciputra Development Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ciputra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ciputra Development Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ciputra Development Tbk? Buying financial instruments such as Ciputra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Ciputra Stock

Ciputra Development financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ciputra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ciputra with respect to the benefits of owning Ciputra Development security.