Cvr Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CVI Stock | USD 18.74 0.04 0.21% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding CVR Energy is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of CVR Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out CVR Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in CVR Stock please use our How to Invest in CVR Energy guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as CVR and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards CVR Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
CVR |
Execute CVR Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The CVR recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CVR Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CVR Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CVR Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
CVR Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| CVR Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CVR Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CVR Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| CVR Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Icahn Enterprises Among the NASDAQ Stocks with Biggest Upside Potential According to Analysts |
CVR Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of CVR Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CVR Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CVR Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CVR Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CVR Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for CVR Energy.
| Mean Return | -0.29 | Value At Risk | -5.81 | Potential Upside | 3.99 | Standard Deviation | 4.28 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CVR Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
CVR Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 716 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 691.1 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 667.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 639.1 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 611.6 K | Sir Capital Management, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 601.1 K | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 568.4 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-06-30 | 561.9 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 532.1 K | Icahn Carl C | 2024-09-30 | 66.7 M | Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 6.8 M |
CVR Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (10M) | 9M | (182M) | (140M) | 15M | 15.8M | |
| Change In Cash | (16M) | 22M | (157M) | (142M) | 669M | 702.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 588M | (193M) | (159M) | 693M | 686M | 720.3M | |
| Depreciation | 287M | 278M | 279M | 288M | 298M | 181.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2M | 83M | (388M) | 19M | (24M) | (25.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 159M | 283M | 249M | 274M | 262M | 191.0M | |
| Net Income | 362M | (320M) | 74M | 644M | 878M | 921.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 668M | 652M | 674M | 517M | 1.2B | 1.2B | |
| Dividends Paid | 306M | 121M | 241M | 483M | 453M | 315.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 43M | 57M | 92M | 73M | 84.0M | 88.1M | |
| Investments | (121M) | (140M) | 3M | (271M) | (239M) | (227.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | (40M) | 31M | (91M) | (78M) | (70.2M) | (66.7M) |
CVR Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CVR Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CVR Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CVR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
CVR Energy Volatility Alert
CVR Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.49 and kurtosis of 14.8. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CVR Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CVR Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.CVR Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing CVR Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CVR Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CVR Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CVR Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CVR Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CVR Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare CVR Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | CVR Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0244 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.06) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.95 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 100.53 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 100.00 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.77 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.92 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.79 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.24 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 9.25 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.42 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.42 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 878 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 510 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.88 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.2 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.54 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.71 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 948 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.89 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.69 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (2.16) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 19.92 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.57 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.53 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.88 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.71 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (660 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 497 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.27 B | 9.34 B |
Note: Insider Trading [view details]
CVR Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CVR . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About CVR Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell CVR Energy? Buying financial instruments such as CVR Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out CVR Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in CVR Stock please use our How to Invest in CVR Energy guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CVR Energy. If investors know CVR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CVR Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | Dividend Share 1.5 | Earnings Share 0.69 | Revenue Per Share 78.259 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) |
The market value of CVR Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CVR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CVR Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CVR Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CVR Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CVR Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CVR Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CVR Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CVR Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.